UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd03c87c0b03680386aacb28a19e47f9243c0c0933be3d934d322325cc35e921f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elijah Smithof SuYoung You, Elijah Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $541,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $541,504 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked SuYoung You | 30c | 132,300$39,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,622.75 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Elijah Smith | 70c | 83,813$58,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,448.44 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed SuYoung You | 30c | 76,592$22,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,821.59 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Elijah Smith | 70c | 75,000$52,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,500.02 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked SuYoung You | 30c | 29,620$8,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,886 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Elijah Smith | 70c | 21,300$14,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,389.97 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Elijah Smith | 70c | 20,040$14,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,012 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…8536backed SuYoung You | 36c | 16,378$5,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,930.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Elijah Smith | 71c | 15,258$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.2 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed SuYoung You | 29c | 11,087$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.2 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Elijah Smith | 71c | 10,563$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.38 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Elijah Smith | 70c | 10,514$7,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed SuYoung You | 30c | 10,500$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed SuYoung You | 32c | 10,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed SuYoung You | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Elijah Smith | 70c | 7,024$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.16 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed SuYoung You | 29c | 6,971$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.57 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Elijah Smith | 71c | 6,957$4,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.05 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Elijah Smith | 70c | 6,710$4,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.31 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked SuYoung You | 30c | 6,431$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.9 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba3…5367backed Elijah Smith | 71c | 6,031$4,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Elijah Smith | 68c | 5,493$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.87 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Elijah Smith | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed SuYoung You | 28c | 4,906$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.06 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked SuYoung You | 18c | 4,687$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.42 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed SuYoung You | 30c | 4,203$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.24 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c988backed Elijah Smith | 71c | 4,154$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Elijah Smith | 67c | 4,109$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.26 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…1d20backed Elijah Smith | 71c | 3,508$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Elijah Smith | 68c | 3,411$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.14 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…971cbacked Elijah Smith | 70c | 3,148$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Elijah Smith | 70c | 3,035$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.98 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed SuYoung You | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed SuYoung You | 29c | 2,938$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked SuYoung You | 27c | 2,932$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.36 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x518a…47cbbacked Elijah Smith | 70c | 2,837$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…3d72backed Elijah Smith | 70c | 2,715$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Elijah Smith | 80c | 2,608$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.14 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Elijah Smith | 69c | 2,577$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.96 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Elijah Smith | 70c | 2,500$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…1db7backed Elijah Smith | 71c | 2,461$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed SuYoung You | 29c | 2,435$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.24 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…f1babacked SuYoung You | 30c | 2,127$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Elijah Smith | 71c | 2,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Elijah Smith | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed SuYoung You | 29c | 1,975$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.71 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Elijah Smith | 70c | 1,966$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.53 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed SuYoung You | 31c | 1,944$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Elijah Smith | 69c | 1,806$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.24 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed SuYoung You | 33c | 1,773$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.76 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed SuYoung You | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Elijah Smith | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed SuYoung You | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Elijah Smith | 76c | 1,500$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.52 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed SuYoung You | 30c | 1,486$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.88 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe96a…b2dbbacked Elijah Smith | 71c | 1,478$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616a…5046backed Elijah Smith | 71c | 1,422$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed SuYoung You | 32c | 1,385$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed SuYoung You | 29c | 1,380$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed SuYoung You | 34c | 1,364$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.76 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed SuYoung You | 31c | 1,350$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.44 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9ae0backed SuYoung You | 31c | 1,291$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed SuYoung You | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed SuYoung You | 29c | 1,183$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.19 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Elijah Smith | 70c | 1,159$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.86 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed SuYoung You | 31c | 1,086$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.27 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed SuYoung You | 30c | 1,016$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.7 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed SuYoung You | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked SuYoung You | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked SuYoung You | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Elijah Smith | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…599cbacked SuYoung You | 37c | 949.38$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d31…0286backed Elijah Smith | 71c | 932.39$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed SuYoung You | 35c | 886.26$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked SuYoung You | 31c | 700$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4240…279ebacked Elijah Smith | 70c | 695.26$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…d234backed Elijah Smith | 70c | 675$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Elijah Smith | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Elijah Smith | 64c | 630$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked SuYoung You | 30c | 596.67$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Elijah Smith | 61c | 577.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.86 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Elijah Smith | 70c | 561.46$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Elijah Smith | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Elijah Smith | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Elijah Smith | 71c | 491.51$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.54 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Elijah Smith | 71c | 482.61$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Elijah Smith | 75c | 462.51$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7762…309ebacked SuYoung You | 29c | 450$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Elijah Smith | 71c | 447.9$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c93…f0f6backed Elijah Smith | 70c | 438.62$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Elijah Smith | 70c | 432.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.39 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked SuYoung You | 30c | 423$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed SuYoung You | 33c | 418.4$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.63 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Elijah Smith | 75c | 417$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed SuYoung You | 29c | 410.63$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Elijah Smith | 72c | 405.92$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed Elijah Smith | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Elijah Smith | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Elijah Smith | 69c | 400$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 520 | 52.9%275 W · 245 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed SuYoung You | 30c | 394$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.