TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7342…1db7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
20
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,901Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,901.14
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,230
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.75
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$285.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.88
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$124.46
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.57
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$572.13
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.18
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.19
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,323.21
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.74
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+49.3%+$18.15
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$215
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+75.7%+$526.26
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,856Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,044
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Elijah Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,748Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$713.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,474.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,376
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.