TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$571,541
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$616,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $571,541 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis43c232,858$100,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,233.9642440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked FUT Esports57c138,681$78,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,019.6839249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed FUT Esports57c44,782$25,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,269.9541649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed FUT Esports57c41,707$23,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,756.3633043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb29…e532backed Astralis16c39,982$6,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,547.32245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed Astralis43c22,800$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,90012649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Astralis44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,80023839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked FUT Esports57c20,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,60015245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d90…9845backed FUT Esports56c16,872$9,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,372.45757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb328…4df1backed FUT Esports57c11,000$6,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7302755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Astralis43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30019645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Astralis42c9,009$3,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,803.5171645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Astralis44c6,591$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90020539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Astralis41c6,500$2,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,664.9828538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed FUT Esports59c6,458$3,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.7819455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked FUT Esports59c6,373$3,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,606.0319834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Astralis43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.9735153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked FUT Esports57c5,048$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.8121251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Astralis41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05027133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Astralis37c4,902$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.7442142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed FUT Esports63c4,799$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.1713347.4%63 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked FUT Esports63c4,741$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.5265650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Astralis44c4,653$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.296152.5%32 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked FUT Esports58c4,297$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.546544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Astralis42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FUT Esports71c3,693$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.123,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Astralis42c3,602$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.897832.1%25 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis17c3,320$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.3281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed FUT Esports57c3,288$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.8428344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FUT Esports58c3,279$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.291,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed FUT Esports59c3,229$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.892171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked FUT Esports56c3,224$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4247342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Astralis16c3,192$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.8216240.1%65 W · 97 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed FUT Esports57c3,104$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.222849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb44…3eafbacked FUT Esports63c3,090$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f85…bd8cbacked Astralis44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed FUT Esports57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.9975450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Astralis42c2,977$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.6512449.2%61 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed FUT Esports57c2,634$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.3712552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked FUT Esports57c2,440$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.216343.6%71 W · 92 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed FUT Esports74c2,032$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.3429647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Astralis23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4606830.9%21 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed FUT Esports62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Astralis43c1,986$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.8225634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Astralis46c1,970$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90027452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Astralis43c1,860$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8009349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Astralis14c1,816$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4516527.9%46 W · 119 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Astralis40c1,750$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.641,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked FUT Esports58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1413065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed FUT Esports58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1496545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Astralis22c1,664$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.479038.9%35 W · 55 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked FUT Esports80c1,644$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.2944957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked FUT Esports65c1,580$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.0947738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Astralis43c1,502$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.5497040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Astralis43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64550833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc68d…2fe8backed FUT Esports71c1,500$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.395129.4%15 W · 36 L-8.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Astralis22c1,343$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.0816732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed FUT Esports56c1,276$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.512378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+37.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked FUT Esports52c1,275$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61261228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Astralis43c1,222$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.4616750.9%85 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7342…1db7backed FUT Esports57c1,221$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.261637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis36c1,208$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.252,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Astralis43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010651.9%55 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Astralis43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Astralis42c1,106$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.4222045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed FUT Esports56c1,100$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.9876546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa952…14a5backed Astralis5c1,060$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539256.5%52 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked FUT Esports57c1,053$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.6341069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FUT Esports64c1,050$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.11,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed FUT Esports57c1,018$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.5415249.3%75 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked FUT Esports59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41022550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed FUT Esports57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4306046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Astralis43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43018752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4205,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a4…ab0ebacked Astralis3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304613%6 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Astralis20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20057322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf98c…bf06backed Astralis44c972.72$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3508…9babbacked Astralis17c970$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe82b…52b4backed Astralis42c900.4$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x905c…de69backed FUT Esports58c899.98$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed FUT Esports57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.199565.3%62 W · 33 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Astralis43c872.09$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3757149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Astralis42c866.48$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.9228549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d84…3c31backed FUT Esports61c865$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3385062%31 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis28c851.69$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.164,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked FUT Esports59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4618336.6%67 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FUT Esports58c814$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.371,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Astralis28c799.99$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22118943.4%82 W · 107 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Astralis45c793$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.856432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed FUT Esports58c790.62$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.2856732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Astralis43c786.05$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33810947.7%52 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Astralis44c781.2$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.7312038.3%46 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Astralis43c767.44$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3305444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x839c…dcc6backed Astralis26c766.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ec…8c8dbacked Astralis18c732.2$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x944f…d441backed Astralis27c720.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.678148.1%39 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked FUT Esports56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.2942050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Astralis37c702.89$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.073,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Astralis43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30112426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed FUT Esports58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2946553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.