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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,088 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports66c25,000$16,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,499.9877957.4%447 W · 332 L+1.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Astralis34c22,909$7,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,789.1921051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb29…e532backed Astralis34c15,367$5,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,207.922245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Astralis28c8,082$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.9433043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Astralis12c7,037$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.9857822.3%129 W · 449 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Astralis41c6,406$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.5812038.3%46 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed FUT Esports66c5,361$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.5172453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Astralis27c4,974$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.893,26250.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L+97.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked FUT Esports62c4,953$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.0647738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed FUT Esports61c3,938$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.972045%9 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Astralis10c3,926$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020249.5%100 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked FUT Esports68c3,211$2,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.4121251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis28c3,171$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.762,12041.9%889 W · 1,231 L-47.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Astralis14c2,500$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.8124538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Astralis14c2,048$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.419038.9%35 W · 55 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked FUT Esports64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9922550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Astralis14c1,999$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.761,28922%283 W · 1,006 L-25.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ab…0fe6backed Astralis34c1,840$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.63253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Astralis37c1,836$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.4997840.7%398 W · 580 L+12.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked FUT Esports67c1,757$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.7825655.5%142 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked FUT Esports60c1,645$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Astralis34c1,565$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.3260639.9%242 W · 364 L-14.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked FUT Esports64c1,560$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.8426045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ab…f441backed FUT Esports66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Astralis32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9914847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FUT Esports71c1,450$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.321,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb44…3eafbacked FUT Esports64c1,407$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis28c1,402$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.912,24447.6%1,068 W · 1,176 L-4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Astralis3c1,400$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked FUT Esports66c1,364$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.649353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Astralis33c1,318$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.181,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis48c1,236$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.8458961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69aa…e28bbacked FUT Esports65c1,211$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.32755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35f0…5191backed FUT Esports69c1,028$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.542763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FUT Esports67c1,025$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.134,26149.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L+62.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc70…7f2abacked FUT Esports60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcff4…3609backed Astralis17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed FUT Esports63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.122358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FUT Esports66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked FUT Esports66c999.5$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.8310251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Astralis41c992.68$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40717847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed FUT Esports59c950.97$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked FUT Esports66c945.03$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.3119351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Astralis26c929.97$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.012,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x87bc…8420backed Astralis43c900.88$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Astralis24c852$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.725,91137.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L+74.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked FUT Esports62c816.02$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.5941069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x790a…b48fbacked FUT Esports61c813.37$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.375246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed FUT Esports62c807.06$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.0627950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Astralis38c789.42$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.575650%28 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9798…12d2backed FUT Esports65c753.85$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.857546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e53…eaebbacked FUT Esports67c745.76$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.16045%27 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis40c683.2$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.182543%355 W · 470 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Astralis34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20447045.3%213 W · 257 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis21c573.29$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.26,52242.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L-80.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Astralis26c568.56$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.521,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FUT Esports74c543.34$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1431,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked FUT Esports58c520.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5335341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4478…02a4backed FUT Esports67c510$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.451838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked Astralis10c505.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.953647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Astralis34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17050833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Astralis9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4531444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked FUT Esports67c495.81$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0118667.2%125 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Astralis39c487.18$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19023952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked FUT Esports68c483.05$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0527245.2%123 W · 149 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed FUT Esports65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5412426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed FUT Esports67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.769832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed Astralis10c425.62$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427828.2%22 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+113.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis10c425$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5114…8346backed FUT Esports65c415.38$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.382653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Astralis22c365.87$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8926046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed FUT Esports70c356.43$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.472532%8 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed FUT Esports66c348$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.323030%9 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed FUT Esports60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3350340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37cc…f862backed FUT Esports60c330.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.64963.3%31 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa05c…aa9bbacked FUT Esports66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0321557.2%123 W · 92 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2700…9165backed Astralis34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Astralis34c289.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed FUT Esports66c289.38$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6992152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed FUT Esports79c252.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3823557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Astralis46c246.52$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11352947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed FUT Esports66c242.42$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4212955%71 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cfb…f786backed Astralis17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013119.8%26 W · 105 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Astralis34c226.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FUT Esports69c217.44$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.963,25651.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L+89.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0106…0e63backed FUT Esports62c210$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.87546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49d2…3ecbbacked FUT Esports66c205.38$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.83757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x686d…a66abacked FUT Esports65c200.88$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed FUT Esports69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6212742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Astralis10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7413657.4%78 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Astralis34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688158%47 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Astralis23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4639851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed FUT Esports64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7242057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed FUT Esports54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9278348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e1…32bdbacked Astralis15c197.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Astralis15c194.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022843.9%100 W · 128 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked FUT Esports70c193.03$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.545956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed FUT Esports65c185.66$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9822554.7%123 W · 102 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Astralis40c174$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.616250%81 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ee…456fbacked FUT Esports61c172.09$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5912769.3%88 W · 39 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.