TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x905c…de69

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$186
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$318
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+284.6%+$370
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$180
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$182
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$41
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$210
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+300%+$337.49
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+28.2%+$88
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$301
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$301
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$490
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+203%+$469
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$460.02
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$208
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$244.99
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$196
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$249
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+49.3%+$230.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$308
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$287
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$102.82
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$35.04
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$629.99
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$561
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$811.99
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$43.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Alexandra Eala vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$480
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.