Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebbed7d570b1991aaadffc9b9d117efb4a1c844fe5462c84c13aec82b61549c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x306d…52f7backed No | 1c | 3,469$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed No | 4c | 2,500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…daa5backed No | 2c | 2,212$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 51c | 1,921$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.77 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500d…68acbacked Yes | 40c | 1,593$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…5d29backed Yes | 40c | 1,592$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 3c | 1,517$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 126 | 14.3%18 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 60c | 1,092$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.71 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9568…a533backed No | 60c | 1,089$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3826…919dbacked No | 60c | 1,061$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…f319backed No | 60c | 1,035$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…0b97backed No | 1c | 936$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…d4febacked Yes | 36c | 700$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 55c | 599.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.51per pick | 65cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 66c | 582.31$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.61 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 50c | 507.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 45c | 425.32$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.89 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 64c | 420$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 250 | 23.2%58 W · 192 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed No | 60c | 395.83$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Yes | 27c | 370.69$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.17 | 423 | 12.5%53 W · 370 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 37c | 363.74$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.84 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…8174backed Yes | 67c | 326.36$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 33c | 309.71$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 44c | 294.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.32 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 48c | 280.83$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.87 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed No | 56c | 278.06$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.12 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 42c | 266.76$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 47c | 263.32$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes | 39c | 257.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.9 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 76c | 253$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes | 67c | 250$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 59c | 240.36$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 67c | 237.81$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4088…0da3backed Yes | 45c | 227.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…9fbabacked Yes | 37c | 225.45$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 18c | 218$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed Yes | 39c | 217.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 71c | 209.11$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.43 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed No | 14c | 205.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 53c | 202.69$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 43c | 200.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…d6edbacked No | 65c | 200.39$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…bce0backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…5958backed Yes | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcf…7e4cbacked No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.47 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 38c | 199.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.09 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 15c | 188.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d4…0787backed Yes | 40c | 175.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…a8c1backed Yes | 60c | 171.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a97…0cc8backed Yes | 35c | 170.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…011cbacked Yes | 46c | 166.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 61c | 161.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 45c | 154.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e9…cfb0backed Yes | 45c | 151.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…a691backed Yes | 38c | 149.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c13…3007backed Yes | 69c | 149.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…4094backed Yes | 41c | 149.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 307 | 14%43 W · 264 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 15c | 145.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…985abacked Yes | 62c | 142.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 53c | 135$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 360 | 18.6%67 W · 293 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe342…2a23backed Yes | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 79c | 125.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 60c | 118.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…af50backed No | 16c | 115$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…8171backed Yes | 25c | 112.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…17fcbacked No | 35c | 112.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…194bbacked No | 13c | 111$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdb…6425backed No | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…af22backed Yes | 44c | 107.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 60c | 105$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf096…28a8backed Yes | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89a…70d3backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…b2ffbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…ff6ebacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4072…c225backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 36c | 99.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 32c | 99.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…f0e6backed Yes | 31c | 97.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb60…1938backed Yes | 23c | 97.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +264.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 31c | 96.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…d265backed Yes | 62c | 94.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862e…0b2ebacked Yes | 64c | 93.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 90.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 28c | 89.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9748…91e1backed Yes | 63c | 87.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…b31ebacked Yes | 23c | 87.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…560dbacked No | 56c | 84.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f1…ba5abacked No | 14c | 83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…ca85backed No | 15c | 82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…137ebacked Yes | 52c | 77.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…6c89backed Yes | 47c | 77.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905c…de69backed Yes | 42c | 75.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…be73backed Yes | 44c | 68.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.