Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7578ef79b1fba0bb9eaea1c3f1f3e6f96f617b5c949622eef535436740e76ef6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 2c | 8,000$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.36 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a51…6fe1backed Yes | 2c | 7,878$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 4c | 6,222$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.38 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed Yes | 1c | 5,667$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 2c | 5,216$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.17 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…52f7backed Yes | 1c | 4,388$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f6…db6fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,036$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.55 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 2c | 3,678$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…b6a8backed Yes | 1c | 3,451$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,652$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 126 | 14.3%18 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 4c | 2,064$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,032$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 89 | 15.7%14 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…daa5backed Yes | 2c | 2,026$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 2,017$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…f77fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,795$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912b…858ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,644$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 29c | 1,525$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.59 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 3c | 1,310$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 1c | 1,219$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed Yes | 1c | 1,109$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 4c | 1,090$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…847cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,085$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…6c89backed Yes | 10c | 1,029$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 5c | 979.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…cd03backed Yes | 1c | 957.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 8c | 767.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 730 | 4.5%33 W · 697 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes | 10c | 717.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…0172backed Yes | 3c | 606.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…4d69backed Yes | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 60c | 590.3$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.12 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Yes | 11c | 574.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 423 | 12.5%53 W · 370 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 33c | 538.47$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.92 | 272 | 24.3%66 W · 206 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 8c | 510$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 508$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes | 22c | 500.37$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 10c | 499.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…fa48backed Yes | 3c | 491.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5835…59e7backed Yes | 2c | 483.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 11c | 482.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 35c | 465.31$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.61 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 4c | 453.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f2…d674backed Yes | 2c | 444.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb302…702dbacked Yes | 3c | 428.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 66c | 419.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes | 14c | 397.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 250 | 23.2%58 W · 192 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cd…17acbacked Yes | 3c | 394.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d4…0787backed Yes | 38c | 389.83$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e4…8171backed Yes | 33c | 304.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Yes | 4c | 301$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…cb14backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +196.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a76…37abbacked Yes | 40c | 300$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 63c | 268.48$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 268.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 7c | 253$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…e2b1backed Yes | 10c | 250$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed No | 67c | 239.13$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed No | 67c | 217.71$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 6c | 217.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491b…c50abacked Yes | 5c | 210.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…6e2ebacked Yes | 28c | 207.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4072…c225backed Yes | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a41…2c3ebacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…8da1backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…006abacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…95ebbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…eb8cbacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe342…2a23backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…0b53backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…d265backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9748…91e1backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…a8c1backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…985abacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 14c | 185.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 27c | 181.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 73c | 172.36$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9af8…b069backed Yes | 15c | 168.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes | 15c | 161$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…df87backed Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 38c | 149.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 21c | 139.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 11c | 136.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…4a94backed Yes | 8c | 124.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 133 | 23.3%31 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 123.17$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…011cbacked Yes | 26c | 122.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…456dbacked Yes | 11c | 118.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 11c | 118.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 12c | 110.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…f0e6backed Yes | 28c | 107.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…ff6ebacked Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 27c | 99.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4808…f10fbacked Yes | 27c | 96.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 15c | 90.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…137ebacked Yes | 13c | 88.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…b31ebacked Yes | 27c | 85.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.