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Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Alexandra Eala vs Linda Noskova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Linda Noskovaof Alexandra Eala, Linda Noskova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,576 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6aee…fad4backed Linda Noskova74c10,984$8,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,892.3524557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Alexandra Eala7c10,618$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.582,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Alexandra Eala31c7,647$2,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.9710440.4%42 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Alexandra Eala40c3,591$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.93164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed Alexandra Eala43c2,991$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.8325540.8%104 W · 151 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Alexandra Eala29c2,615$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.9124438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Alexandra Eala17c2,594$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.6771725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Linda Noskova65c2,575$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.452,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6de0…f7f1backed Alexandra Eala44c2,548$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.882560%15 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Linda Noskova62c2,385$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.118237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Linda Noskova63c2,237$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.071,13242.8%485 W · 647 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Alexandra Eala39c2,198$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.8520336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Alexandra Eala40c2,022$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80137854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Alexandra Eala37c2,002$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.581,69450.5%856 W · 838 L+13.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Linda Noskova57c1,800$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.9913135.9%47 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Linda Noskova54c1,780$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.961,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Linda Noskova61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3444754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x746c…50debacked Alexandra Eala26c1,561$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Alexandra Eala1c1,527$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Alexandra Eala38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.981,44928.4%412 W · 1,037 L+2.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Linda Noskova60c1,300$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.0778552.9%415 W · 370 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x905c…de69backed Linda Noskova60c1,200$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed Alexandra Eala43c1,001$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.2410341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed Linda Noskova61c926.23$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.234860.4%29 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed99…2677backed Linda Noskova75c921.33$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.3314848.6%72 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Linda Noskova61c918.98$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.021,98146.2%916 W · 1,065 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Alexandra Eala37c852.46$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.3138931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Linda Noskova60c835.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.741,13650%568 W · 568 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Alexandra Eala44c764.05$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.3431146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Alexandra Eala41c731.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30066258.9%390 W · 272 L-32.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Linda Noskova59c730$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.31,03250.1%517 W · 515 L+11.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Linda Noskova54c719.12$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.7920554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Linda Noskova57c710.78$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.646339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Linda Noskova61c700$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27359348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Alexandra Eala47c616.8$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.51,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Alexandra Eala37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22246932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4152…5d75backed Alexandra Eala40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe45…7687backed Alexandra Eala40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf334…0606backed Alexandra Eala39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2344214.3%6 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked Linda Noskova61c599.98$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Linda Noskova61c599.97$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.991,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Alexandra Eala41c536.59$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22054450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexandra Eala35c530.46$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.676,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b1f…49e6backed Alexandra Eala39c520.23$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Alexandra Eala43c511.63$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…6af2backed Linda Noskova61c499.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19512835.2%45 W · 83 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Alexandra Eala41c488.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20094549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alexandra Eala8c485.23$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.527,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Linda Noskova63c480.19$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1783,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Alexandra Eala38c479.99$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.481047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Alexandra Eala40c450$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18038048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Alexandra Eala44c449.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20051342.9%220 W · 293 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Linda Noskova63c422.22$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2211157.7%64 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Linda Noskova62c420.15$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0351849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdcb…36c9backed Linda Noskova61c410.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.838530.6%26 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Alexandra Eala41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16470752.8%373 W · 334 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Alexandra Eala21c396.76$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.456,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Alexandra Eala37c390.14$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0338133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Linda Noskova66c340.2$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.042,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Linda Noskova62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5847552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Linda Noskova60c307.76$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.13458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Linda Noskova56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1328951.7%46 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Alexandra Eala39c290$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.11,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Linda Noskova58c285.35$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.251,77149.2%872 W · 899 L+58.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Linda Noskova66c283.36$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3411,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Linda Noskova55c260.33$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3458648.5%284 W · 302 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Alexandra Eala39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10084963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Alexandra Eala39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…b5fdbacked Alexandra Eala39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Linda Noskova59c253.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3354348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Alexandra Eala15c250$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.514257%81 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Linda Noskova56c250$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10970465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Linda Noskova57c249$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.31,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…7bfbbacked Alexandra Eala39c247.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Alexandra Eala34c236.87$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6541272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Alexandra Eala38c230.52$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.64,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Linda Noskova58c223$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6687135.4%308 W · 563 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Alexandra Eala39c220.75$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0912755.9%71 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Linda Noskova62c202.2$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9529461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Linda Noskova62c201.61$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.619958.6%58 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Linda Noskova54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9218551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0395…c9edbacked Alexandra Eala41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Alexandra Eala23c199.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Alexandra Eala39c192.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Linda Noskova60c183.62$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6218957.1%108 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5e…3c51backed Linda Noskova62c171.29$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.093464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Linda Noskova61c169.11$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9537071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Linda Noskova62c161.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292,05959.5%1,226 W · 833 L-0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed Linda Noskova62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.298465.5%55 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Linda Noskova61c160$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.41,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x998c…6f97backed Linda Noskova63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.737345.2%33 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid0%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Linda Noskova59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.569051.2%353 W · 337 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Linda Noskova61c148.54$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9330542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Linda Noskova77c140$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21,92244%846 W · 1,076 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Alexandra Eala33c139$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.671,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Linda Noskova61c138$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.823,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Linda Noskova58c135$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5486947.9%416 W · 453 L+31.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8247…4f13backed Linda Noskova62c132.75$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.454761.7%29 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Alexandra Eala37c132.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.631,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Alexandra Eala39c130$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.722039.1%86 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.