Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6143d94f3b2fb371cb0f326ec5d0f7a01b9b7b7b2bfb31ac498f70c51fda67f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $639,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $758,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $639,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 440 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 52,075$29,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,147.97 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 48,040$21,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,639.26 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a7d6backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 47,795$16,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,980.05 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 43,516$7,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,828.05 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked Team Spirit | 55c | 22,500$12,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,336.49 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 19,689$5,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,366.24 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 14,203$6,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,005.3 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 14,036$7,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,018.07 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…6dfcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 13,335$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,459.74 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 12,507$9,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,815.62 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…cd80backed Team Spirit | 53c | 11,250$5,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,962.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 11,102$5,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,946.97 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed Nigma Galaxy | 9c | 11,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,009.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…cc1abacked Team Spirit | 78c | 10,022$7,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,859.57 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 10,000$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,749.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed Team Spirit | 56c | 9,847$5,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,507.84 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Spirit | 54c | 7,997$4,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,346.24 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Spirit | 56c | 7,372$4,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,115.82 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Team Spirit | 79c | 7,164$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,659.72 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 6,159$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 5,907$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,784.66 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 52c | 5,750$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 5,694$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.92 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 5,668$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,477.53 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 25c | 5,563$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.63 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 5,500$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.99 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Team Spirit | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…753abacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Spirit | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Spirit | 60c | 4,753$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,847.63 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99c…7e96backed Team Spirit | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Team Spirit | 3c | 4,500$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 4,250$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.95 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed Team Spirit | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Spirit | 51c | 3,838$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.18 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked Team Spirit | 50c | 3,700$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 3,206$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.8 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 3,126$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.12 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…6d64backed Team Spirit | 63c | 3,088$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.6 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 3,087$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.89 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 2,993$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.23 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,966$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.35 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 2,909$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.76 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 2,838$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.16 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 2,435$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.54 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 2,230$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.29 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Team Spirit | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.1 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 2,199$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.56 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 2,169$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.49 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 2,140$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.47 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…cd68backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 2,009$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 2,000$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.63 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 1,990$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.16 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…10b1backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,922$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1f…5757backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 1,905$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.76 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 1,876$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.5 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 1,824$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.53 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…9e86backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…03cfbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Team Spirit | 51c | 1,772$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.55 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,626$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.2 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,575$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.65 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf5…d9f2backed Team Spirit | 80c | 1,548$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 74cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.01 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…6107backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 1,490$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.28 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,478$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.7 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,449$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.33 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Team Spirit | 56c | 1,370$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.17 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed Team Spirit | 61c | 1,354$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.13 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Team Spirit | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…20ecbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,194$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,154$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.09 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 1,113$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.86 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Spirit | 50c | 1,107$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.48 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 1,100$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8e1dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,090$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,033$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.78 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,019$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.07 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Team Spirit | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Team Spirit | 79c | 991.08$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.95 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Team Spirit | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Spirit | 38c | 966.99$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.46 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 899.9$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.58 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Team Spirit | 56c | 899.47$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.7 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…9f69backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 892.36$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.71 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…10b1backed Team Spirit | 47c | 871.79$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.74 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 812.85$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.7 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 804.04$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.83 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Team Spirit | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Team Spirit | 78c | 800$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…91cdbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 781.82$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 757.35$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.21 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaed…44f8backed Team Spirit | 55c | 750.19$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.19 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…3e5cbacked Team Spirit | 80c | 750$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.