Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e5c52f0b5781ba5f6fa8652e4811930042916cb0c44162452a491ba99aa75af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $666,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $808,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $666,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 63c | 56,028$35,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,200 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 50,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,999.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked Team Spirit | 72c | 28,000$20,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,098.79 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 17,165$4,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,358.94 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 17,043$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,564.83 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 15,546$4,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,259.08 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 15,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Team Spirit | 72c | 13,300$9,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,613.23 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 13,242$3,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,798.84 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed Team Spirit | 77c | 9,646$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,399.82 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 9,310$4,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,882.96 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Spirit | 73c | 8,837$6,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,412.56 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 8,243$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,743.11 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 7,238$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,964.91 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 7,000$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,970 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 6,689$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,857.99 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 6,666$4,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.77 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 6,285$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,889.37 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 6,262$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.56 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Spirit | 64c | 6,255$4,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,015.38 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed Team Spirit | 15c | 6,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 5,842$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.47 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Spirit | 70c | 5,599$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.36 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 5,318$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.82 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 4,814$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,988.63 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Team Spirit | 72c | 4,444$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…fbc9backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 4,161$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.04 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Team Spirit | 70c | 4,133$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.97 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 3,749$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.93 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Spirit | 30c | 3,567$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.24 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Team Spirit | 73c | 3,500$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 3,429$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.48 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Team Spirit | 18c | 3,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 3,221$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.95 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 3,150$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.8 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Team Spirit | 19c | 3,102$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.55 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 2,800$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.98 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 2,620$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.2 | 117 | 77.8%91 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked Team Spirit | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed Team Spirit | 32c | 2,448$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.9 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Spirit | 60c | 2,400$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 2,377$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.67 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 2,370$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.11 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…52c2backed Team Spirit | 53c | 2,340$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 2,325$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.8 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 2,300$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 2,205$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.72 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…89bfbacked Team Spirit | 23c | 2,171$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Spirit | 71c | 2,136$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.56 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Team Spirit | 27c | 2,110$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.18 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2890…b5ecbacked Team Spirit | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Spirit | 72c | 2,000$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 1,979$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.01 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 27c | 1,974$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.12 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 1,940$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.8 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Spirit | 78c | 1,811$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.3 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…9c8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 1,796$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.71 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,744$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.98 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 1,733$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.91 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 1,707$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.15 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Team Spirit | 21c | 1,699$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.85 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,596$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.25 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 1,502$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.34 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Team Spirit | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Team Spirit | 73c | 1,482$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.82 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 1,464$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.43 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 1,459$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.65 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 1,449$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.5 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 1,402$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.54 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,316$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.32 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Team Spirit | 64c | 1,290$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.38 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Spirit | 34c | 1,197$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.94 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 1,162$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.45 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 1,158$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.56 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 1,151$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.28 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 1,116$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.88 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team Spirit | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Team Spirit | 11c | 1,099$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.87 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.33 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…eab3backed Team Spirit | 27c | 999.97$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.73 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Spirit | 41c | 993.78$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.22 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 988$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.84 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Spirit | 53c | 967.21$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.57 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 965.56$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.26 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked Team Spirit | 31c | 955.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…dcddbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 930.05$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…c5a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 924.76$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.83 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Spirit | 72c | 907.72$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.56 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Team Spirit | 31c | 898.84$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.64 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…f211backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 892.85$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fd…eecfbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 888.02$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.7 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Spirit | 54c | 875.09$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 59c | 824.7$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.39 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 805.6$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.18 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group StageNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.