Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c4ad8cfafaf14c4798455727a3e04df0b9ea5024c4d5bdc79e702f9e1944480
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $814,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $952,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $814,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 598 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 70c | 71,828$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…6be8backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 25,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 21,865$10,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,121.62 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 21,099$6,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,322.5 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 20,851$5,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,052.86 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 18,622$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,042.32 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 16,610$8,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,374.99 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Spirit | 53c | 13,420$7,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,129.75 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 13,317$6,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,871.65 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 13,237$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,795.1 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 12,749$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,988.96 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 12,281$6,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,255.93 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Spirit | 53c | 12,022$6,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,362.16 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 11,890$5,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,316.96 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 11,868$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.74 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Team Spirit | 61c | 11,547$7,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,038.44 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 11,298$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,548.81 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 74c | 10,458$7,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,739 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Team Spirit | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.8 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 9,955$5,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,473.71 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 9,796$6,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,189.56 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…0beebacked Team Spirit | 47c | 8,753$4,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,106.75 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 8,171$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,150.6 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Team Spirit | 74c | 7,860$5,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,798.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 7,333$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.16 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 7,119$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.93 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 7,063$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431.71 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 7,007$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,325.3 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 6,733$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.1 | 65 | 81.5%53 W · 12 L | +10.2wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 6,500$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Team Spirit | 80c | 6,402$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.84 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 6,358$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.78 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 6,246$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580.93 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 6,215$3,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.27 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 6,000$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.07 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Spirit | 72c | 5,425$3,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,924.43 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Spirit | 60c | 5,315$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.37 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Spirit | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Spirit | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 4,982$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.92 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 4,726$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.65 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Spirit | 6c | 4,657$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.19 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Team Spirit | 67c | 4,600$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19fb…bd68backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 4,432$3,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.03 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 4,372$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.23 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed Team Spirit | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…230dbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 3,989$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.7 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 3,969$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 3,926$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.91 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…d3adbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 3,917$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…753abacked Team Spirit | 72c | 3,850$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 3,838$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe92…4215backed Team Spirit | 38c | 3,812$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.59 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Spirit | 54c | 3,756$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.22 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 3,663$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.76 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 3,648$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.83 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 3,571$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.52 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 3,552$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.83 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 3,478$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.38 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 3,415$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.63 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 3,400$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.13 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 3,300$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.03 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 3,205$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.69 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 3,122$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.96 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Spirit | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…ec88backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 3,000$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…ba3bbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 2,951$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.13 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,912$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.18 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…a162backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 2,900$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Spirit | 71c | 2,803$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Spirit | 68c | 2,753$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.76 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed Team Spirit | 68c | 2,692$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.05 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 2,605$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.48 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Spirit | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.99 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 2,492$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.79 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 2,458$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.6 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 2,404$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.58 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 2,359$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.2 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 2,357$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.57 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 2,308$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 2,230$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.96 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 2,228$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.7 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…d3d4backed Team Spirit | 75c | 2,224$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.82 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Team Spirit | 72c | 2,160$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.46 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 2,150$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.98 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 2,120$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.4 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Spirit | 49c | 2,051$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.02 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 2,012$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.5 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Spirit | 51c | 1,967$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.52 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,946$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…8453backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.08 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Spirit | 66c | 1,906$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.18 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,806$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.08 | 322 | 41.6%134 W · 188 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 1,749$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.17 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 1,721$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.61 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group StageNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.