TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Liquid, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,528,554
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,317,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,528,554 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,004 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed Team Yandex54c300,790$163,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137,156.329733%32 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x875b…0878backed Team Liquid55c99,930$55,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,326.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Team Yandex70c71,174$49,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,579.256261.3%38 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Liquid53c64,829$34,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,489.41,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Liquid49c42,404$20,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,778.7260542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Yandex64c40,214$25,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,479.4945139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Yandex44c40,000$17,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,30036041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Liquid40c37,000$14,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,968.1732549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Team Yandex49c36,200$17,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,421.3931936.7%117 W · 202 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f05…b18ebacked Team Yandex45c35,000$15,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,2503435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8002…8b6cbacked Team Liquid56c31,850$17,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,836.073250%16 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Team Yandex62c31,366$19,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,888.9550832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Team Yandex45c30,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,5002347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9100…7adebacked Team Liquid53c29,666$15,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,589.392552%13 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Yandex49c28,595$13,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,604.3523435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed Team Liquid48c26,335$12,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,582.8614825%37 W · 111 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7414…72a3backed Team Liquid56c25,949$14,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,421.573633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid51c25,163$12,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,773.5948954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Team Yandex49c23,964$11,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,133.1425446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid53c23,400$12,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,473.9780256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Team Liquid50c23,198$11,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,703.212348%59 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Yandex47c19,633$9,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,408.8271143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Team Yandex48c18,552$8,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,636.0922644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2929…1dd0backed Team Liquid47c18,472$8,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,609.7716553.3%88 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19fb…bd68backed Team Liquid55c17,412$9,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,526.352181%17 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick67cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x88c3…bea3backed Team Liquid52c17,206$8,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,938.455459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde24…4dedbacked Team Liquid49c16,529$8,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,044.7519853%105 W · 93 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed Team Liquid46c15,000$6,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8502653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Yandex55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,75011953.8%64 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9c…4cb4backed Team Yandex67c15,000$10,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,959.392744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Team Yandex48c14,835$7,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,645.312159.5%72 W · 49 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex49c14,342$7,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,265.9253451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked Team Yandex48c14,181$6,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,329.212141.3%50 W · 71 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Team Yandex45c14,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,7007548%36 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Team Liquid53c13,527$7,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,132.3820030.5%61 W · 139 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Liquid52c13,084$6,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,738.768348.2%40 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Yandex44c12,956$5,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,214.9889741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc83…08f4backed Team Yandex51c12,670$6,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,254.125461.1%33 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Team Yandex56c12,520$7,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,457.8847650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eeb…5abfbacked Team Yandex47c12,228$5,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,503.184656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed Team Liquid40c12,153$4,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,861.1121155.5%117 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Team Yandex54c12,000$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,52010641.5%44 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid47c11,284$5,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,357.3188539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Team Liquid55c11,250$6,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,187.47933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Yandex48c11,162$5,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,759.5569644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb132…6b5ebacked Team Yandex48c10,625$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5253053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Liquid62c10,552$6,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,540.5635960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid54c10,380$5,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,611.2553764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Liquid53c10,238$5,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,477.2324246.7%113 W · 129 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f04…1fb0backed Team Yandex56c10,237$5,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,462.1110458.7%61 W · 43 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Yandex47c10,093$4,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,339.889749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Yandex48c10,020$4,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,241.4868649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6111…4742backed Team Liquid47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7004957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20042650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked Team Liquid47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7007236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Team Liquid55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.9930452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b13…0263backed Team Liquid52c9,030$4,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,724.935164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a06…52c2backed Team Liquid72c8,780$6,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,280.262437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Team Liquid46c8,740$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,997.7310540%42 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Team Liquid50c8,698$4,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,318.372828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed Team Yandex55c8,271$4,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,738.4718950.8%96 W · 93 L+10.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7045…81b5backed Team Yandex53c8,199$4,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,874.945369.8%37 W · 16 L+9.1wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Team Liquid56c8,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,48031547.6%150 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c7…42e7backed Team Liquid53c7,892$4,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,149.4210256.9%58 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid46c7,710$3,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,546.621,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a93…8e36backed Team Yandex69c7,126$4,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.694562.2%28 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Team Liquid51c7,092$3,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,601.76851.5%35 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Team Liquid52c7,075$3,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.2636343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex46c7,025$3,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,802.761,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Liquid50c6,845$3,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,412.3479341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Liquid55c6,827$3,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,737.2493546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Liquid30c6,369$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.0420642.7%88 W · 118 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe760…f2f9backed Team Yandex47c6,348$3,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,334.096251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Yandex54c6,175$3,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.9212858.6%75 W · 53 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6b5…99cebacked Team Liquid43c6,085$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,587.343125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e24…7014backed Team Liquid58c5,998$3,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,46110453.8%56 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe46d…7e4dbacked Team Yandex52c5,963$3,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,873.597055.7%39 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked Team Liquid38c5,784$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.443243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df4…0b7abacked Team Yandex49c5,667$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,909.976851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc6…315dbacked Team Yandex49c5,503$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,802.811070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f6a…599abacked Team Liquid60c5,493$3,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,294.39061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Team Liquid51c5,480$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.7910537.1%39 W · 66 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid48c5,472$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.261,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked Team Liquid51c5,356$2,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,733.32733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1aee…637abacked Team Yandex51c5,273$2,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,560.765149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked Team Yandex47c5,128$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.38547.1%40 W · 45 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Yandex53c4,957$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,313.5130667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x068c…bce7backed Team Liquid48c4,950$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.16241.9%26 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Yandex55c4,844$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.2196645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid66c4,789$3,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,184.1651140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex49c4,710$2,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.221,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Liquid47c4,705$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9435737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Team Yandex45c4,613$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.6715739.5%62 W · 95 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Liquid51c4,580$2,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,352.816641%68 W · 98 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Liquid58c4,535$2,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.9489938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Team Liquid46c4,270$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.058757.5%50 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Liquid53c4,104$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.3230356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Yandex53c4,097$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.6619456.2%109 W · 85 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x63bc…4179backed Team Liquid25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008834.1%30 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Yandex46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.974156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.