Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bad9d643c2874af2955b52f87bceec68270279b83aca4c813a065dbe8c1f2bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Liquid, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Liquid | 31c | 19,739$6,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,048.74 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Yandex | 69c | 10,275$7,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.33 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Yandex | 72c | 4,895$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.57 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Yandex | 70c | 3,324$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.87 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Yandex | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.99 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Liquid | 31c | 1,930$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Team Liquid | 33c | 1,534$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Team Yandex | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0f…3656backed Team Yandex | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Yandex | 67c | 1,285$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.54 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Yandex | 73c | 1,017$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.98 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked Team Liquid | 31c | 1,003$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…eab3backed Team Liquid | 15c | 784.76$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Team Liquid | 28c | 670.37$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.7 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Team Yandex | 70c | 613$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.9 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Team Liquid | 29c | 551$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Yandex | 68c | 505$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.64 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Team Liquid | 28c | 454.4$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Liquid | 25c | 433.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.57 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Team Liquid | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 310$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…1ce7backed Team Liquid | 30c | 288.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Team Liquid | 26c | 269.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Yandex | 69c | 198.55$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…8d00backed Team Liquid | 31c | 185.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…558fbacked Team Liquid | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Yandex | 80c | 153.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Team Yandex | 70c | 145$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…92debacked Team Yandex | 72c | 130$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Team Yandex | 69c | 130$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…1c26backed Team Liquid | 29c | 116.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Team Liquid | 31c | 115.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Team Yandex | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Liquid | 22c | 101.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Team Yandex | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…fbccbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Liquid | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Team Liquid | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Team Liquid | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Team Yandex | 69c | 93.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…3eb7backed Team Yandex | 69c | 86.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d5…211ebacked Team Liquid | 31c | 68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…2302backed Team Yandex | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Team Yandex | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb061…abbcbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df8…8e9dbacked Team Yandex | 69c | 50.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Team Liquid | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Team Yandex | 42c | 47.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…502ebacked Team Yandex | 70c | 47.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Team Liquid | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…ca8bbacked Team Liquid | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…e98cbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 38.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…b016backed Team Yandex | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Yandex | 71c | 29.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed Team Yandex | 70c | 29.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21e1…4682backed Team Yandex | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Team Yandex | 70c | 24.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x549b…28c2backed Team Yandex | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d29…872abacked Team Yandex | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.