TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Liquid, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,696,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,860,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,696,819 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 842 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5dab…22e1backed Team Liquid57c425,883$244,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244,871.092441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Team Yandex60c253,166$151,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,107.4612259.8%73 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Team Yandex42c100,000$42,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,00012560%75 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Liquid55c80,458$44,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,385.7860542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed Team Yandex49c63,443$31,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,366.439733%32 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Yandex44c61,282$27,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,196.9323435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Team Yandex47c61,021$28,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,177.8812159.5%72 W · 49 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89a6…429abacked Team Liquid51c43,400$22,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,1341346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1896…a7d6backed Team Liquid54c41,789$22,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,734.063043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Yandex43c40,000$17,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,80041944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f05…b18ebacked Team Liquid32c40,000$12,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,8003435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked Team Yandex67c40,000$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,999.977236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Team Yandex43c35,895$15,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,319.2727645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b1…6dfcbacked Team Yandex46c30,000$13,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,274.923148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Yandex42c30,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,399.8736041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc16…1fadbacked Team Yandex43c29,354$12,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,731.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Yandex48c20,125$9,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,432.7671143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3170…c6a0backed Team Liquid57c20,000$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,4002045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Liquid31c19,034$5,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,925.171,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ef…cc70backed Team Liquid55c17,175$9,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,446.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a81…0e8fbacked Team Liquid40c16,765$6,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,702.154148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Team Yandex43c15,000$6,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,5507548%36 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Yandex45c14,938$6,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,176.8993546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed Team Yandex43c14,655$6,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,292.452152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Team Yandex43c13,079$5,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,454.763852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Team Yandex45c12,451$5,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,848.0617946.9%84 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Team Liquid45c11,300$5,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,031.253754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Team Yandex45c10,889$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,988.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2787…e0c4backed Team Liquid57c10,340$5,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,893.863366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Team Yandex64c10,015$6,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.6135850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Team Yandex42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8001540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Yandex43c9,999$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.4325549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7618…24c6backed Team Liquid32c9,966$3,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x111d…21babacked Team Yandex42c9,625$4,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,582.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe46d…7e4dbacked Team Liquid47c9,504$4,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,513.337055.7%39 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Team Liquid65c9,213$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00014258.5%83 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6e…28adbacked Team Yandex76c9,211$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.531361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fad…0d30backed Team Liquid55c9,160$5,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,038.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Yandex51c8,966$4,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,438.0936248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Yandex45c8,766$3,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,821.317444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb68…9bf0backed Team Liquid5c8,548$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Team Liquid55c8,200$4,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,510540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc42…6bd4backed Team Liquid55c7,557$4,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,156.34366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Yandex42c7,200$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,191.489749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4097…9397backed Team Yandex42c7,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,060837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f62…dd4dbacked Team Liquid55c6,950$3,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,800.791560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Liquid48c6,802$3,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269.316553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2583…3675backed Team Yandex45c6,716$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,712.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Yandex43c6,705$2,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,803.4964744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Team Liquid55c6,566$3,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,638.3413960.4%84 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Yandex45c6,523$2,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,587.5517948.6%87 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Yandex44c6,469$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,649.2768649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f21…82d6backed Team Liquid51c6,390$3,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,258.91050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e9…2eeabacked Team Liquid72c6,153$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4446767.2%45 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca93…3c97backed Team Yandex51c6,039$3,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,986.573455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Team Yandex47c6,000$2,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,194.333953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Yandex44c6,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.954156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Team Liquid39c5,805$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.3520030.5%61 W · 139 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x363c…9b0ebacked Team Liquid52c5,774$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,978.1712148.8%59 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Team Liquid55c5,260$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90010743%46 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Team Liquid50c5,225$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6205137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Liquid56c5,112$2,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,862.9824246.7%113 W · 129 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…5abfbacked Team Liquid32c5,103$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.834656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Team Yandex68c5,070$3,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.373452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaed…44f8backed Team Liquid40c5,012$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe974…f815backed Team Liquid2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004650%23 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed Team Yandex45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.951127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Yandex61c4,978$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.0748539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd47c…39b5backed Team Yandex46c4,902$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,669.013560%21 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Yandex41c4,835$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,82996645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked Team Liquid57c4,795$2,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,733.154360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x732f…f245backed Team Liquid54c4,660$2,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,516.21633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-50.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked Team Yandex67c4,580$3,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid55c4,500$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.981,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c63…0ca5backed Team Liquid44c4,453$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.471936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Team Yandex50c4,412$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.321758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Team Yandex52c4,405$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,105.238757.5%50 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Team Yandex46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.8322842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Team Liquid52c4,083$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.218456%47 W · 37 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Team Liquid2c4,075$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.522727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a5…55d6backed Team Yandex45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.992045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Team Yandex45c3,903$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.146726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Team Liquid55c3,899$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.3423736.7%87 W · 150 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x568b…4727backed Team Liquid56c3,644$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.581442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Team Yandex67c3,542$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.833650%18 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Yandex45c3,469$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.9845139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Team Liquid55c3,435$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.249850%49 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Team Liquid56c3,327$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.234953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e0…a97ebacked Team Liquid56c3,307$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.031566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Team Yandex47c3,228$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.9943860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Yandex52c3,215$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.1450353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Team Yandex68c3,119$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Yandex37c3,096$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.4637811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Team Yandex31c3,031$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.053351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Yandex43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7109556.8%54 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7101,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed Team Liquid53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5903740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7243…942abacked Team Liquid54c3,000$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.9913850%69 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked Team Liquid58c2,841$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6481050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed Team Liquid34c2,779$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.915928.8%17 W · 42 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.