Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86cc09f9e1fd26b2a9e941261d3c129467ec793d72d1d510068b45ecdb7cc539
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $919,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,164,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $919,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 46c | 155,634$71,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,726.42 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Aurora | 52c | 128,197$66,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,730.28 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Team Falcons | 48c | 101,578$48,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,757.36 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 47c | 79,727$37,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,993.47 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Team Falcons | 53c | 37,251$19,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,725.62 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora | 70c | 36,336$25,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,050.98 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 49c | 31,294$15,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,821.45 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 47c | 27,956$13,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,816.68 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Team Falcons | 49c | 20,066$9,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,832.48 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Aurora | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.93 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 15,564$7,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,837.54 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Aurora | 74c | 13,993$10,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.27 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Aurora | 50c | 13,261$6,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,646.68 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Team Falcons | 55c | 13,143$7,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,229.93 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 13,096$6,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,286.26 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Aurora | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,359.98 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Team Falcons | 49c | 11,807$5,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,785.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons | 48c | 11,111$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.26 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Aurora | 68c | 10,785$7,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.43 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Aurora | 51c | 8,724$4,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,287.98 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Team Falcons | 51c | 7,614$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.82 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…8371backed Aurora | 72c | 6,999$5,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 56c | 6,936$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.76 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 6,095$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.36 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora | 49c | 5,452$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.55 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 5,393$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858.06 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Team Falcons | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 51c | 5,000$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.76 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Aurora | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.2 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Team Falcons | 51c | 4,337$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.24 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Falcons | 49c | 4,316$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.97 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e459backed Aurora | 49c | 3,931$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…7767backed Team Falcons | 54c | 3,914$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Aurora | 46c | 3,822$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.76 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Team Falcons | 51c | 3,806$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.2 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 3,794$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.35 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a9…dc10backed Team Falcons | 51c | 3,625$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Team Falcons | 51c | 3,394$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.62 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Team Falcons | 30c | 3,193$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Aurora | 48c | 2,997$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.54 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 2,970$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.3 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Team Falcons | 52c | 2,796$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.71 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Aurora | 47c | 2,654$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.8 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Falcons | 40c | 2,500$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.43 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Falcons | 51c | 2,476$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.75 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 2,462$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.58 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…0b30backed Aurora | 49c | 2,385$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 29c | 2,372$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.09 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 2,233$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.1 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Aurora | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Team Falcons | 50c | 2,148$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.17 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Aurora | 48c | 2,061$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Aurora | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.8 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…5947backed Aurora | 49c | 2,056$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.32 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 31c | 2,030$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.6 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Aurora | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…eab7backed Aurora | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Team Falcons | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Team Falcons | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 30c | 1,990$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.02 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Aurora | 49c | 1,979$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.5 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Aurora | 72c | 1,938$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.58 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…b4d8backed Aurora | 46c | 1,933$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,883$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.88 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora | 47c | 1,750$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 68c | 1,694$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.31 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…4119backed Aurora | 50c | 1,664$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…b7b6backed Aurora | 69c | 1,639$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd60…3fcabacked Aurora | 47c | 1,625$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Aurora | 47c | 1,545$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.85 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Aurora | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,469$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.01 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,428$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.85 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked Team Falcons | 46c | 1,414$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.45 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Aurora | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Aurora | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…9337backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,396$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Team Falcons | 28c | 1,362$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.35 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e3…6d29backed Aurora | 49c | 1,335$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1038…ac4dbacked Aurora | 48c | 1,334$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Aurora | 48c | 1,312$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.2 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Aurora | 49c | 1,306$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,302$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.64 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 31c | 1,270$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.31 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Aurora | 58c | 1,267$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.59 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Aurora | 73c | 1,168$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.23 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf98a…f376backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,164$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Aurora | 48c | 1,155$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.69 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x905c…de69backed Team Falcons | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Team Falcons | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc19…0650backed Aurora | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.87 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 1,093$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.19 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Aurora | 48c | 1,066$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.15 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,055$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.89 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…cd85backed Aurora | 49c | 1,050$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…e2bbbacked Aurora | 49c | 1,028$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Aurora | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Aurora | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Aurora won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.