Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02f0bd0ebbe92ad3f10b1302cb2b8c4ca72bb3a1578d40d2665157e450d553bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $953,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,146,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $953,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 515 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Falcons | 52c | 66,545$34,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,819.19 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Aurora | 50c | 43,534$21,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,767.13 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 53c | 37,829$19,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,917.7 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons | 49c | 28,354$13,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,842.77 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 51c | 24,539$12,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,056.42 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…a981backed Aurora | 57c | 23,458$13,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,124.88 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 52c | 20,873$10,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,018.86 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora | 49c | 18,500$9,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,410.49 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Falcons | 48c | 18,250$8,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,759.99 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora | 47c | 16,598$7,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,761.95 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Falcons | 47c | 15,512$7,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,254.42 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Aurora | 49c | 13,662$6,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,967.52 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Aurora | 51c | 12,153$6,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,955.06 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons | 51c | 11,970$6,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,104.91 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Aurora | 50c | 10,165$5,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,044.31 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x377b…5cb1backed Aurora | 51c | 10,160$5,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,978.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Aurora | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 9,874$4,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.48 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 9,782$4,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,092.48 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccef…02dbbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 9,698$5,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,470.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 53c | 9,450$4,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,481.2 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 9,367$4,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,519.19 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aurora | 48c | 9,144$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,754.97 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Aurora | 45c | 8,415$3,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.59 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons | 51c | 8,325$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,204.64 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Falcons | 41c | 7,187$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.69 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Team Falcons | 50c | 6,685$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 48c | 6,495$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.83 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 48c | 6,133$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 6,058$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.72 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Aurora | 48c | 6,055$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Aurora | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.99 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 51c | 5,970$3,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,047.41 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Falcons | 52c | 5,608$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.6 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Team Falcons | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Aurora | 59c | 4,968$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.5 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Aurora | 47c | 4,793$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.35 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora | 50c | 4,604$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.7 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Falcons | 48c | 4,444$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.11 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 45c | 4,215$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.84 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Team Falcons | 43c | 4,066$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.42 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 54c | 4,063$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.54 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Falcons | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.98 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 50c | 3,943$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.78 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 3,766$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.95 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 49c | 3,550$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Aurora | 48c | 3,399$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.18 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons | 50c | 3,386$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.13 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Falcons | 49c | 3,032$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.75 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Falcons | 37c | 3,000$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.25 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Falcons | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Aurora | 47c | 2,858$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.31 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Aurora | 49c | 2,798$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.99 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 2,712$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.71 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 47c | 2,660$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.13 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Aurora | 53c | 2,570$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.04 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Aurora | 49c | 2,541$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.32 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Aurora | 53c | 2,430$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.86 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…396dbacked Team Falcons | 24c | 2,429$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 56c | 2,354$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.68 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Falcons | 43c | 2,296$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.84 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Falcons | 46c | 2,295$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.62 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Falcons | 5c | 2,270$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Aurora | 56c | 2,179$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.64 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Team Falcons | 49c | 2,153$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.05 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Falcons | 4c | 2,150$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 2,143$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.2 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Aurora | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Falcons | 37c | 2,049$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.54 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Falcons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 1,988$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.65 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,900$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Aurora | 57c | 1,899$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.5 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons | 41c | 1,896$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.03 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Aurora | 48c | 1,810$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.16 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…b7b6backed Team Falcons | 39c | 1,806$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Aurora | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.34 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Aurora | 51c | 1,794$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.24 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 1,765$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.83 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,680$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.66 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Falcons | 37c | 1,672$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.29 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Aurora | 53c | 1,642$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.98 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Falcons | 47c | 1,595$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.65 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,578$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.12 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,554$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.48 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,518$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.26 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Aurora | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.99 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Falcons | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.98 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Aurora | 50c | 1,460$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.88 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 53c | 1,445$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.15 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,401$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.74 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,370$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.22 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8654…6bfebacked Aurora | 77c | 1,361$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons | 43c | 1,358$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.9 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,318$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.89 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,250$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.5 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed Team Falcons | 40c | 1,239$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43bb…26dbbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 1,238$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Aurora won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.