TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$412,562
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$489,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,562 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5966…f804backed FURIA72c57,808$41,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,298.693857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Heroic28c40,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,20041649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d09…2543backed Heroic30c30,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Heroic26c28,688$7,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,515.3133043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7e1…ec43backed Heroic30c23,106$6,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,831.211758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Heroic27c22,926$6,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,189.9375652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked FURIA72c20,047$14,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,634.1238358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Heroic29c19,300$5,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,508.1688242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked FURIA73c18,991$13,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,127.6715050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4d…8525backed FURIA79c18,419$14,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,853.691942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed FURIA70c15,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FURIA71c14,156$10,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,146.9676058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA70c12,046$8,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,568.855,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked FURIA71c11,000$7,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,19019757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed FURIA71c10,096$7,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,977.8237157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed FURIA71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9008043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47b3…039cbacked Heroic29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9005742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked FURIA70c7,500$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9718550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Heroic29c7,500$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.9216245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Heroic24c6,545$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55397040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Heroic29c6,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9734…bb94backed Heroic30c5,592$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.731526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed FURIA70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Heroic29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.9911638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heroic17c4,886$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.083,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Heroic9c4,019$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.7341040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed66…4d20backed FURIA71c3,500$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002070%14 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed FURIA72c3,199$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.6123354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Heroic30c3,011$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.378639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heroic16c2,820$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44552837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Heroic29c2,819$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.471,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Heroic28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Heroic1c2,435$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.922943.7%100 W · 129 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Heroic29c2,414$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic18c2,191$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.582,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Heroic29c2,105$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.5460248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed FURIA72c2,100$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58812651.6%65 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Heroic21c2,039$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.421,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Heroic20c2,020$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40487047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed FURIA70c1,927$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.2218061.7%111 W · 69 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Heroic29c1,851$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.9159839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed FURIA71c1,813$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.6433452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FURIA70c1,750$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5251,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic15c1,595$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.716,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Heroic26c1,588$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.1132732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked FURIA72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42017357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd23c…07cebacked FURIA71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4351643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Heroic30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45026743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Heroic29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9912426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Heroic29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9753746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked FURIA72c1,458$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40841069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic22c1,430$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed FURIA71c1,410$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.917460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Heroic29c1,400$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40648437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f75…279bbacked FURIA71c1,380$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1844…7eb8backed FURIA72c1,375$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.062254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Heroic29c1,366$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.114044.3%62 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked FURIA69c1,347$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.4584454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked FURIA71c1,335$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.2620458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked Heroic29c1,329$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.757441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa019…f444backed Heroic31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009643.8%42 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic22c1,283$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.511,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Heroic22c1,257$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4488746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Heroic29c1,250$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.491,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6fd…1128backed FURIA71c1,127$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.762050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Heroic28c1,097$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.1716047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked FURIA72c1,077$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6215255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Heroic26c1,045$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.715,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Heroic22c1,030$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.640253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FURIA72c1,028$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.864852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Heroic25c1,011$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.224,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Heroic9c1,003$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0269624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Heroic30c1,000$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2958933.7%30 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Heroic28c999.96$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9910058%58 W · 42 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Heroic29c999.95$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9928738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd57b…c48fbacked FURIA70c987.79$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.347062.9%44 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Heroic28c987$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.3640140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Heroic29c974.99$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7565650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x836c…acffbacked FURIA73c942.42$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.452040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf64f…9f48backed Heroic14c915.94$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.654325.6%11 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Heroic30c888.37$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5117849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed FURIA71c839.2$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.248350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Heroic30c832.76$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24952636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7342…1db7backed Heroic28c821$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.881637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed FURIA71c805.73$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.6622750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Heroic20c804.39$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.071,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c4c…f869backed FURIA75c801.35$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.3512053.3%64 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Heroic29c766.65$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9929839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed FURIA70c754$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9121060%126 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed Heroic10c732.22$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.226119.7%12 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Heroic20c724.45$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.13,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed FURIA70c719.34$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.422,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Heroic5c713.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6216920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c27…cb5bbacked FURIA71c710$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.94374.4%32 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed FURIA71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2324055.8%134 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80b9…cedcbacked FURIA71c700$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2038667.4%58 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9237…9381backed FURIA77c654.29$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.295253.8%28 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Heroic30c633.33$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19015637.2%58 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c0…ae83backed FURIA72c615.28$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.281163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick73cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Heroic29c613.87$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.385,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.