CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x499c8b8dc0d44df1e30f90bb5c9ded8e6965bbb436b8fcc7da5b668e6de9dc8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,273,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,273,694 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 988 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 93,627$37,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,425.92 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Aurora Gaming | 14c | 76,209$10,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,359.89 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 75,000$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,999.99 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 71,436$46,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,170.79 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 63,444$37,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,012.05 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 60,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,999.89 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 40,178$16,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,473.1 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 31,123$20,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,965.28 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.94 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 26,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 24,246$14,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,658.2 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 22,579$17,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,675.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 20,283$8,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,113.29 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 20,006$8,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,002.52 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 19,077$11,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,630.88 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 14,085$5,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,634.13 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 13,334$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.45 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 13,083$8,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.21 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 12,550$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 12,476$4,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,612 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 12,020$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.88 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 10,062$6,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.8 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 9,200$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 9,119$6,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.84 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 9,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 8,927$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 8,803$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.81 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 8,657$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.99 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 8,500$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 8,391$5,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.86 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 8,103$5,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.14 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 7,701$4,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.45 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbc…a37bbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 7,701$4,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.39 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 7,570$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.77 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 7,287$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.72 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 7,057$5,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.63 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…dd75backed Aurora Gaming | 23c | 7,000$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…f23abacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 6,966$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 6,869$5,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.34 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 6,667$4,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.7 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 6,667$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.67 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 6,279$3,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.29 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 5,555$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.39 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 5,378$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.42 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 5,351$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.4 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 5,291$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.39 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 5,093$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.08 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 5,070$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 5,000$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.98 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 4,880$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.62 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 4,800$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.99 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 4,577$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.1 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…fb5bbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 4,448$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.62 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 4,369$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.23 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 4,250$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.5 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 4,195$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 4,136$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.07 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e18…85dfbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 4,090$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 3,914$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.36 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 3,805$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 3,715$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.74 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 3,565$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.25 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,414$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.65 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 3,409$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.83 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 3,358$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,323$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.46 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 3,313$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.85 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 3,200$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 3,184$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.08 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f3…c888backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,144$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 3,094$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.52 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c44fbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,010$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…26d6backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 3,010$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,941$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.54 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,700$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 2,673$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.59 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,600$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,569$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.44 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Aurora Gaming | 20c | 2,530$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.98 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 2,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 2,430$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.25 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 2,402$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.87 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…8058backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,397$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.13 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…c6dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 2,396$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,247$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.99 | 152 | 64.5%98 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 2,220$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 2,200$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…8c52backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,032$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 3 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 4 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+2.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.