CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd15d06123bd05ea30afa3c046768497a5827c839bcfec6f3385bfb8aaa653c85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,041 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 25,264$4,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.02 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 19,474$7,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,937.73 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 18,758$9,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,091.53 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 13,569$9,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,986.01 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 12,341$6,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,822.9 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 7,173$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 6,753$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.01 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 6,500$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 6,427$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.93 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 6,419$4,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.58 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 6,239$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.25 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 6,136$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,063.87 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 5,000$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.32 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 3,826$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.74 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 3,618$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.02 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 3,568$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.25 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 3,362$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.75 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 3,325$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.51 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 2,845$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.37 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 2,799$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,276$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.18 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 2,031$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.04 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 2,008$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.1 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 1,935$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.06 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,908$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.51 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,882$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.18 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 1,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 1,711$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.1 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,553$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.54 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,495$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.65 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,488$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.37 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 1,474$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 1,422$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.03 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,321$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.01 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,279$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.06 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,274$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.76 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…c5aebacked Aurora Gaming | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…0302backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,058$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.19 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 1,050$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,045$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.93 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,020$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.39 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 1,012$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.55 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…075abacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 840$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 839.63$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.63 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 834.69$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.65 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Aurora Gaming | 27c | 752.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 750.09$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.54 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…aa06backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 709.97$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.09 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…ada4backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 705.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 692.21$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.22 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 659.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 9c | 633.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 610.31$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.15 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 601.3$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…9165backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 590$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.3 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 575.17$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.29 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 568$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.96 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 555.98$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.47 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 509.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.69 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 499.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 499$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…9863backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 450$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 430$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.3 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 420$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 403.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 388.02$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0311…f80ebacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 381.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 26.5%48 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 338.51$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.02 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…b9fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 320.18$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 305.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Aurora Gaming | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 297.85$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 275$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcb…5831backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 265.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…3cd3backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 258.58$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.75 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 246.02$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 3 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+2.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.