CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57c0de34c6b2a5c084b4795f0c533dc2c3dc9d3b9226950e9e7d2df93b4faa04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $380,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,529 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 28,528$8,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,983.12 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 22,495$10,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,300.19 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Aurora Gaming | 16c | 22,250$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.98 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 13,449$6,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,724.8 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 13,000$6,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,529.99 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 10,783$4,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,578.85 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 10,533$6,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.54 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.96 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 9,066$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440.77 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 7,910$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.38 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 7,572$3,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303.31 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 6,518$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.69 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 6,288$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.99 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 6,279$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.96 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 6,191$4,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.62 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 6,062$2,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.6 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 6,003$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.03 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 6,000$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.81 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 5,899$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.25 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 4,483$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.71 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c7…fb64backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 4,165$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…9863backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 3,949$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 3,493$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.11 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 3,492$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.65 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 3,437$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.32 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 3,337$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.64 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 3,116$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.59 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Aurora Gaming | 5c | 3,092$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.73 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora Gaming | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 3,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 2,811$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 2,566$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.7 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,460$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.3 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 2,456$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.09 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,152$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.26 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,959$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.82 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,952$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.59 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,789$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.98 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,729$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.78 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…d3b8backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,655$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.91 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,655$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.21 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,589$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.67 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Aurora Gaming | 8c | 1,584$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 1,500$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.5 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,432$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.96 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,401$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.07 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,228$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.8 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 1,174$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.9 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 1,051$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.6 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.13 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,000$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 998$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.2 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 965.26$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 888$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 866.02$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.77 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 837.15$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.15 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 830$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.9 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.8 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 749.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 680$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.4 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…0302backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 647.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 602.42$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…1ec9backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 599.98$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 582.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.31 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 559.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 535.88$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.88 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 534$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.46 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 509.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 507.39$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.03 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…aa06backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 500$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.17 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 496.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.91 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 444$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.28 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 442.12$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.85 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Aurora Gaming | 13c | 420.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…c615backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 418.75$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 416.3$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.11 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 396.08$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.43 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…db7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 28c | 395.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 392.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 392.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.71 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 374.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…b9fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 10c | 360$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 354.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…ada4backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 336$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 331.52$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 322.77$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 311.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.71 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 309.6$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 4 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+2.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.