CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe47a7d4bc2ec888dfb951768a2d63e3866dca3e6baaece2a58850553a3d290ac

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $93,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,069 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Over	72c	42,786$30,774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,012.76	392	49%192 W · 200 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under	28c	41,713$11,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,679.78	220	49.1%108 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Over	72c	16,067$11,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,498.72	233	55.4%129 W · 104 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under	28c	14,357$4,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,020	125	52.8%66 W · 59 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under	18c	4,583$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$833.51	1,969	46.7%919 W · 1,050 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	27c	3,105$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.46	1,723	46.8%807 W · 916 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over	79c	2,538$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.13	193	51.8%100 W · 93 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Under	22c	2,058$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.71	2,223	47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L	-5.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under	28c	1,500$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	135	45.9%62 W · 73 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44fc…9728backed Over	76c	1,300$988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over	78c	1,026$798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.11	988	56.1%554 W · 434 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under	23c	819.32$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.74	1,573	35.3%556 W · 1,017 L	+22.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7218…8b34backed Over	78c	756.41$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.41	92	68.5%63 W · 29 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Under	31c	709.68$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over	69c	599.99$412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188	95	50.5%48 W · 47 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Under	16c	593.75$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	1,181	22.5%266 W · 915 L	+3.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Over	72c	555.56$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.56	331	53.5%177 W · 154 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x529e…683dbacked Over	72c	551.96$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.96	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under	24c	534.23$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.5	3,236	51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L	+88.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	24c	517.75$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.26	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Over	74c	500$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	117	53.8%63 W · 54 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	72c	455.28$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.48	608	48%292 W · 316 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under	22c	442.13$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.85	256	34.4%88 W · 168 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	22c	420.89$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.33	3,259	50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L	+98.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Over	66c	403.69$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.26	225	41.8%94 W · 131 L	-14.0wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	72c	400$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	187	54.5%102 W · 85 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	148	43.9%65 W · 83 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	28c	343.28$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.44	456	39.3%179 W · 277 L	-29.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Under	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ab…f911backed Over	77c	287.97$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.23	104	55.8%58 W · 46 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e2…040dbacked Over	76c	261.84$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.84	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked Over	76c	203.62$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.76	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	19c	199.83$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.95	2,456	44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L	-67.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05e…04cebacked Over	77c	199.83$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.76	193	59.1%114 W · 79 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfabf…231cbacked Under	30c	198$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.78	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-4.9wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7178…8fb9backed Over	76c	184.1$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.71	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Over	76c	173$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.52	230	57%131 W · 99 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e87…4891backed Under	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…aa06backed Over	76c	143.47$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.15	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c93…9f37backed Over	71c	140.92$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.92	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	57cpaid	-32%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31a7…6d08backed Over	76c	130.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.85	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over	76c	130.26$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.26	565	54.2%306 W · 259 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	34c	123.76$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.08	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd36…873bbacked Over	71c	121.09$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.09	246	48.8%120 W · 126 L	+17.4wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0311…f80ebacked Under	19c	114.38$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	181	26.5%48 W · 133 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x167d…862abacked Over	76c	102$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.84	51	70.6%36 W · 15 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5949…5fc4backed Over	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-4.2wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,281	37.8%484 W · 797 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Over	76c	98.01$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.71	476	65.1%310 W · 166 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked Under	29c	92.16$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.07	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Over	76c	89.58$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	170	53.5%91 W · 79 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x697e…c4dfbacked Over	76c	81.31$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.76	268	62.3%167 W · 101 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under	19c	80$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	452	24.3%110 W · 342 L	-52.4wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	24c	79.4$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.39	698	63%440 W · 258 L	+65.3wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Under	25c	78.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.67	60	35%21 W · 39 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over	73c	73.63$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.81	128	56.3%72 W · 56 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed Over	71c	70$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.3	187	50.3%94 W · 93 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Over	72c	69.45$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.45	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0d…65ebbacked Under	29c	68.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Over	76c	57.89$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.89	229	56.8%130 W · 99 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	27c	54.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.61	177	45.8%81 W · 96 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0df…7408backed Under	34c	47.34$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under	28c	41.71$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+14%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over	71c	40$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.6	116	46.6%54 W · 62 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f788backed Under	25c	39.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	163	38.7%63 W · 100 L	-13.8wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01d2…77d9backed Over	75c	34.55$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.56	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Over	70c	33.33$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	379	46.4%176 W · 203 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7061…7960backed Under	35c	31.25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	34c	30.52$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.38	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x177a…4c25backed Over	76c	28.83$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.92	74	75.7%56 W · 18 L	+5.0wins	+0.07per pick	69cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over	76c	26.38$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.38	125	55.2%69 W · 56 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8471…e4f0backed Over	75c	25.33$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.33	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd574…3152backed Over	72c	22.07$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.18	84	44%37 W · 47 L	-7.1wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over	69c	21.73$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.74	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefff…2d98backed Over	76c	20.62$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.95	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-6.2wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa58c…56e3backed Over	74c	19.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	339	69.9%237 W · 102 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf901…5f48backed Over	69c	19.93$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.18	84	44%37 W · 47 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb2d…1dc7backed Over	74c	18.7$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.93	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5011…6237backed Over	56c	18.01$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb05a…abdebacked Over	56c	18.01$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	98	52%51 W · 47 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb621…3106backed Over	72c	17.64$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.94	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…8c51backed Over	76c	15.79$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.79	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Over	66c	15.26$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.19	394	69.3%273 W · 121 L	+31.6wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x06a4…dd30backed Over	66c	15.26$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.19	33	69.7%23 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb44…3e02backed Over	76c	15.21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.65	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad54…09a6backed Over	76c	13.91$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over	72c	13.89$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.89	115	53%61 W · 54 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f7b…62c8backed Over	76c	13.24$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.18	125	73.6%92 W · 33 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	70cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 3 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 4 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+2.5)Aurora Gaming won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event