CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fd6fa28b24cf0c85ca3c10b64caa0ac559e83f3553512b710aa624294481d7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $446,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,709 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 26,199$15,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,541.52 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 21,904$8,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,737.6 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 20,761$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.35 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Aurora Gaming | 32c | 17,343$5,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,512.34 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 16,454$8,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,356.07 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 15,036$9,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,015 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 13,935$5,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,447.53 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 13,500$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 13,484$9,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,611.31 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 12,862$7,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520.44 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 12,690$6,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,916.05 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 10,159$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.19 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Aurora Gaming | 8c | 8,055$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 7,326$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.64 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 6,919$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.83 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 6,521$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.27 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 5,992$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 5,814$3,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.47 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 5,329$3,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.41 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Aurora Gaming | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 3,500$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.7 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora Gaming | 10c | 3,390$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.06 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 3,211$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.39 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 2,927$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.35 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 2,607$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 2,225$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,200$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.96 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 2,027$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.57 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,996$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.32 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…fb5bbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 1,833$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,800$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 1,753$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c7…fb64backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,720$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…96febacked Aurora Gaming | 8c | 1,700$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,688$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.25 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,680$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,600$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.42 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 1,573$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.04 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,500$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.99 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…d3b8backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,418$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.54 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Aurora Gaming | 20c | 1,266$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 1,250$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.3 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.07 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 1,204$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 1,132$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.99 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…1ec9backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 1,110$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.7 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 1,104$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 1,023$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 968.68$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.83 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…9165backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 899.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 882.8$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.3 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 869$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.07 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…fb16backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 848.69$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 840.38$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.38 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 827.18$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.44 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…2540backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 791.9$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 760$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 749.65$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.87 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa370…06fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 693.91$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.24 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 650$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 630.31$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.37 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 626.38$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.11 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 608.99$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Aurora Gaming | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 27c | 578.28$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 561.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 560.73$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.16 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 540.21$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.77 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 510.79$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.29 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 510$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 501.34$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 456.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.97 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…71d6backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 449.77$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.91 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed Aurora Gaming | 22c | 446$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 433.29$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.29 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 13c | 404.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 401.88$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…aa06backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…040dbacked Aurora Gaming | 7c | 350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 342.66$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.48 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 335.41$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.81 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Aurora Gaming | 23c | 335$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…3992backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 332.08$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.47 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 3 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 4 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+2.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.