CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5da170b75f07a34b82b03c99d002c03ec00006ba09fbeed03634f119fcc0b760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Natus Vincere, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $633,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $633,067 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 25,201$18,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,717.81 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 20,522$6,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,710.46 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 20,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,299.96 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 17,652$6,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,192.32 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 14,282$4,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,556.5 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 14,266$9,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,398.81 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 13,007$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.49 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 12,419$4,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,167.21 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 10,329$3,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,706.68 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 10,214$5,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.48 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 9,151$5,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.5 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 8,649$4,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324.5 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 8,419$4,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,362.15 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 8,004$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.39 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 7,145$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 6,951$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 6,250$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.01 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 6,141$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.97 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 5,890$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.02 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 5,380$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.25 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 5,303$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.53 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 5,286$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.86 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 5,030$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.36 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 4,964$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.03 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 4,350$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.16 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…b2cabacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 4,033$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.89 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 3,950$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 3,623$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.16 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 3,607$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.47 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 3,285$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.08 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 3,258$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.79 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 3,157$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.75 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,963$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.92 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,767$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.28 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 2,733$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.68 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 2,502$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.6 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 143 | 62.9%90 W · 53 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,384$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.75 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,272$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,240$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.61 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c7…fb64backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 2,199$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 2,146$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.9 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 2,100$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 2,082$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.94 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,979$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.43 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,951$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.41 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,915$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.57 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,872$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.89 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,701$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.64 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 1,685$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.83 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,661$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.59 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,614$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.87 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,520$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.16 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,510$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.77 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,458$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,455$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.78 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 1,448$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.86 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 1,446$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.45 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,344$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,325$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.7 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 1,300$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,300$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…9165backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,280$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.4 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…441fbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 1,245$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.02 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 1,239$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.95 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,230$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.01 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 1,188$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.05 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,165$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.78 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 992$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.35 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 977.01$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.25 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 959.62$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.62 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 957.64$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.82 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 954.46$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.14 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 921.57$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 838$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.98 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 820.49$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.75 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…b9fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 814.19$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.38 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 793.33$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 780.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.09 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 777$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 772.6$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.3 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 760$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.8 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 683$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.35 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 682.27$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.66 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 657.88$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.52 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 632.93$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.55 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 598.32$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.26 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 3 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 4 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+2.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.