TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb2d…1dc7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
327
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Olympics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT9328%26 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.62
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$7.84
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.51
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.56
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.72
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.63
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.17
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.91
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.48
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.93
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.39
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.77
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT4238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$4.93
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$15.92
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$8.79
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.16
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+37.3%+$5.04
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.49
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+138.3%+$14.51
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+117.5%+$29.71
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.47
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.69
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.46
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24.73
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+109%+$13.53
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.29
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$28.35
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+63.6%+$6.61
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.77
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.96
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24.46
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.18
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20.02
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+203.3%+$20.78
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.6
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.15
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+82.4%+$12.65
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.63
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+67.9%+$65.51
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+97.5%+$28.63
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30.88
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.61
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$41.87
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30.92
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.82
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+83.4%+$18.63
Tria FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.71
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35.36
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26.55
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.6%+$4.45
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.32
Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$16.32
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$29.77
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$56.09
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+95.3%+$53.67
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$34.99
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: S2G Esports vs Frites Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Fbacked S2G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+62.7%+$15.8
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.9%+$4.86
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+86.6%+$9.58
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.14
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.8%+$10.01
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+57.6%+$8.77
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+43.1%+$6.33
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+663.5%+$98.19
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.36
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$35.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$35.02
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.32
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.55
LoL: GnG Amazigh vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stagebacked GnG Amazigh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.39
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.72
LoL: DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+297.3%+$44.15
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+79.6%+$7.98
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+43.1%+$6.32
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+53.5%+$9.27
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.82
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+248.1%+$55.7
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$3.74
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.14
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$6.91
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.7%+$6.98
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$41.91
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$74.97
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.09
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+107.6%+$54.94
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+77%+$7.83
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.68
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+71.4%+$8.33
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.34
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+41.5%+$6.16
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+43.5%+$6.37
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.64
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+60%+$6
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-53.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$55.88
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$31.21
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29.03
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+60.1%+$30.59
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35.32
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.18
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+206.6%+$52.56
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$8.3
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+50.5%+$7.72
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.75
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+50.9%+$14.85
Valorant: DRX vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+80.9%+$19.68
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-22.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+164%+$32.92
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$7.9
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$8.31
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
All 8 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-35.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-72.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-63.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+99.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+272.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+577.3%+$57.96
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechiabacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+66.1%+$9.55
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+175.1%+$43.91
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+131.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+67.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rider Broncs vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21.45
Marist Red Foxes vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+235.7%+$42.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.05
First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Dominican Rep.backed Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+727.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$10.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+35.4%+$10.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.