CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x181628324b3c93f9dcf2cf0446283c423e84e2133efe18d0e43b79134c21ae97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 79,998$39,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,999 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Under | 58c | 2,948$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.77 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 43c | 1,790$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.67 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Over | 40c | 1,047$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.72 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Over | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…9185backed Over | 44c | 420$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…f8f9backed Under | 55c | 420$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f0…67c9backed Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Under | 52c | 235.5$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Over | 46c | 219.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 30c | 193.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed Over | 40c | 132.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Under | 65c | 108.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Under | 60c | 102.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Over | 40c | 87.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 19c | 84.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 55c | 84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c02…ca9cbacked Over | 61c | 81.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Over | 52c | 71.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…68dabacked Over | 46c | 65.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…c71ebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 32c | 58.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 34c | 48.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 29c | 47.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 69c | 41.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…1dc7backed Over | 47c | 40.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked Under | 59c | 38.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8b…9ec5backed Over | 66c | 38.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Under | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…3152backed Over | 68c | 30.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…3716backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Under | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…59b1backed Under | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 13DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.