CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e8c462312f64a79d04676b9b055cd3950781f0d2365a39abe225c7d9e114458

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sinnersof Johnny Speeds, Sinners
Resolved: Feb 11, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $97,857
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $97,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,857 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Sinners	64c	80,100$51,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,639.98	392	49%192 W · 200 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Johnny Speeds	38c	33,813$12,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,848.78	882	42.3%373 W · 509 L	-13.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Johnny Speeds	34c	32,241$10,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,968.51	271	33.2%90 W · 181 L	-12.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Johnny Speeds	21c	5,200$1,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,105.99	196	45.4%89 W · 107 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5781…bbfbbacked Johnny Speeds	38c	3,443$1,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,324	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	41cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sinners	72c	2,094$1,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$593.06	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Johnny Speeds	29c	1,679$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.72	68	30.9%21 W · 47 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Johnny Speeds	32c	1,184$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Johnny Speeds	34c	1,005$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.05	1,033	61.6%636 W · 397 L	+87.2wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds	29c	915.78$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.87	6,501	42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L	-79.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9bf…c63cbacked Johnny Speeds	38c	823$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.74	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.31per pick	44cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Johnny Speeds	23c	820.11$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	367	42.8%157 W · 210 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Sinners	60c	818.33$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.33	323	48.9%158 W · 165 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked Sinners	53c	752.67$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.32	164	48.2%79 W · 85 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3f9…d587backed Johnny Speeds	35c	568.64$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.61	350	33.4%117 W · 233 L	+22.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+44.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Johnny Speeds	38c	526.32$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Johnny Speeds	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,629	44.8%730 W · 899 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked Johnny Speeds	38c	389.47$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	123	48%59 W · 64 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c76…0569backed Johnny Speeds	38c	334$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.92	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Sinners	78c	316$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.52	220	45.5%100 W · 120 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa097…8795backed Johnny Speeds	38c	313.16$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	173	47.4%82 W · 91 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf91…3041backed Johnny Speeds	38c	281$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.78	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4da8…6511backed Johnny Speeds	38c	250$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Sinners	57c	226.07$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.21	500	43%215 W · 285 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed Johnny Speeds	38c	200$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	247	46.2%114 W · 133 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed Johnny Speeds	38c	181$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.78	246	41.9%103 W · 143 L	-14.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd60f…b6c4backed Johnny Speeds	43c	174.19$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.43	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Johnny Speeds	30c	170$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Johnny Speeds	38c	153.68$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.4	193	42%81 W · 112 L	-12.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Sinners	79c	151.14$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.53	273	48.4%132 W · 141 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Johnny Speeds	38c	136.84$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	210	52.4%110 W · 100 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d5…c615backed Johnny Speeds	43c	132.4$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.93	73	35.6%26 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Johnny Speeds	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,248	41.3%516 W · 732 L	+5.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Johnny Speeds	41c	117.07$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	692	53.6%371 W · 321 L	-23.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x210e…d188backed Johnny Speeds	42c	108.7$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.99	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.13per pick	60cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Johnny Speeds	40c	101.54$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.54	676	51.8%350 W · 326 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9b44backed Johnny Speeds	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	74	25.7%19 W · 55 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac23…c1fcbacked Johnny Speeds	23c	95.17$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.89	71	38%27 W · 44 L	-9.1wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1939…22e8backed Sinners	58c	75$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	118	40.7%48 W · 70 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6505…0f40backed Johnny Speeds	42c	69.98$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.74	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1b…c38fbacked Sinners	72c	55.54$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.55	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Johnny Speeds	28c	49$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.71	2,102	16.8%353 W · 1,749 L	-286.5wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Johnny Speeds	46c	45.91$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.97	335	57.3%192 W · 143 L	-11.8wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Johnny Speeds	38c	39.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	700	36.1%253 W · 447 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a01…449dbacked Johnny Speeds	51c	39.39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb2d…1dc7backed Johnny Speeds	26c	38.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.18	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6741…e0f9backed Sinners	53c	30.22$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Sinners	65c	25.66$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.98	214	60.3%129 W · 85 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e97…1481backed Sinners	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…3b29backed Sinners	56c	24.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6de0…ea80backed Sinners	61c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	196	55.1%108 W · 88 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Sinners - Map 1 WinnerSinners won
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Sinners - Map 2 WinnerSinners won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event