TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6de0…ea80

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
382
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT19655.1%108 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 196 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.34
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.05
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffsbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winnerbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.35
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+89%+$51.8
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.75
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked R2 Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$61.04
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$19.35
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Showing 25 of 196 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT14047.9%67 W · 73 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 140 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$23.45
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.6
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$23.5
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.96
LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$72.4
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.7
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.85
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.64
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.65
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.35
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.79
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.24
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)backed Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.05
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.02
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$33
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$25.4
Showing 25 of 140 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$16.43
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.95
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$20.02
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$33
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+148.2%+$41.8
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$25.99
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Will Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$20.5
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$25.7
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiujiang: Heather Watson vs Xiaodi Youbacked Heather Watson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Santos: Luis Guto Miguel vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Jesper de Jongbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Francavilla: Felix Gill vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.5
Francavilla: Toby Samuel vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Istanbul: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Alice Tubellobacked Sarah Rakotomanga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
Cagliari: Matteo Berrettini vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+110.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+142.4%+$48.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Inner Circle (BO1)backed Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$37.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.