CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a04c3f2bba66ac703c4deab6dee63af4c65ef50e056dfd54960439f6c37b19c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, Monte
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Monte | 40c | 4,565$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.96 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Monte | 57c | 2,725$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.53 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed FURIA | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed FURIA | 42c | 2,032$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.49 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Monte | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.98 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked FURIA | 57c | 1,724$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.86 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Monte | 3c | 1,356$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed FURIA | 43c | 1,171$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.87 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked FURIA | 42c | 1,153$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.55 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Monte | 29c | 1,077$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.75 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Monte | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked FURIA | 57c | 861.88$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.88 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed FURIA | 43c | 730.22$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.23 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…f869backed FURIA | 71c | 631.51$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.39 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Monte | 48c | 622.54$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.24 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked FURIA | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA | 42c | 457.26$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.72 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Monte | 59c | 456.93$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.59 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed FURIA | 71c | 453.59$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.54 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked Monte | 58c | 399.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FURIA | 42c | 300.22$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.13 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed FURIA | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed FURIA | 41c | 292.1$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…6fe9backed FURIA | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Monte | 58c | 249.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed FURIA | 42c | 238.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed FURIA | 43c | 233.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.17 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Monte | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FURIA | 42c | 191.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Monte | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Monte | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…c150backed FURIA | 43c | 104.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Monte | 58c | 102.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked FURIA | 63c | 99.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Monte | 58c | 93.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…cad6backed FURIA | 43c | 92.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Monte | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Monte | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA | 40c | 83.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…6fb4backed Monte | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -17.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Monte | 58c | 78.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…819cbacked Monte | 60c | 67.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed FURIA | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked FURIA | 56c | 59.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…3923backed FURIA | 43c | 56.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc3…ee0bbacked FURIA | 54c | 55.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Monte | 32c | 53.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Monte | 59c | 51.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Monte | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda7e…1f33backed Monte | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed FURIA | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Monte | 26c | 42.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed FURIA | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Monte | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Monte | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Monte | 54c | 38.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed Monte | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…42fdbacked FURIA | 70c | 31.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed Monte | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 196 | 55.1%108 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed FURIA | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Monte | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked FURIA | 56c | 28.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked FURIA | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…1813backed Monte | 38c | 27.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3f…50b1backed FURIA | 61c | 27.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Monte | 44c | 26.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked FURIA | 70c | 23.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed FURIA | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Monte | 59c | 21.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed FURIA | 69c | 20.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked FURIA | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Monte | 58c | 17.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…85fbbacked Monte | 69c | 16.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.