TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,389

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,996 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dplus KIA63c40,980$25,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,624.571,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed T137c35,000$12,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,049.911,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T138c30,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,60067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ea…832fbacked T137c20,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,599.9720339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Dplus KIA62c9,999$6,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,199.361,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Dplus KIA63c9,858$6,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,210.314247.2%67 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked T167c9,240$6,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.7212664.3%81 W · 45 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc623…5808backed Dplus KIA63c8,049$5,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,070.7412446%57 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Dplus KIA41c7,000$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,89035054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Dplus KIA62c5,479$3,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,418.512,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Dplus KIA63c3,819$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.2252750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Dplus KIA61c3,749$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.451,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Dplus KIA62c3,500$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1701,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Dplus KIA33c3,268$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.2848844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4b…4a75backed T138c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8608751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Dplus KIA63c1,905$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Dplus KIA62c1,600$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99232145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed T138c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Dplus KIA62c1,468$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.9125143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Dplus KIA53c1,451$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.592,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed T138c1,380$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.2686144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba8…d72bbacked T139c1,300$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79517659.7%105 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed T137c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x008b…c1cfbacked Dplus KIA63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6301957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+76.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Dplus KIA62c996.57$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.871,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Dplus KIA63c845.85$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.739055.4%216 W · 174 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Dplus KIA63c682.14$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.751,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked T138c657.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.8935353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed T138c657.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.8943640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc99…e947backed Dplus KIA60c649$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.46434.4%22 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf759…644dbacked T138c628.29$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.544252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Dplus KIA52c575.27$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.851,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Dplus KIA63c560$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.864749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked T139c515.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.1176047%357 W · 403 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed T137c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31529952.2%156 W · 143 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Dplus KIA62c499.98$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.991,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57b…0a2bbacked T140c489.93$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.5511339.8%45 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed T162c479.44$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.454461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa11…e3c0backed T143c472.44$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.447335.6%26 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked T138c460.53$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.5311659.5%69 W · 47 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Dplus KIA61c435.51$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.6654353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Dplus KIA37c382.05$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.991,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Dplus KIA61c359.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5911245.5%51 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Dplus KIA63c327.92$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5916253.7%87 W · 75 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Dplus KIA63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028553%151 W · 134 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Dplus KIA63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027247.8%130 W · 142 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed T137c299.28$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7241743.9%183 W · 234 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed T138c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1618849.5%93 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked T139c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4112462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Dplus KIA63c253.97$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16029944.1%132 W · 167 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked Dplus KIA63c238.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016647%78 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Dplus KIA65c215$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.752955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd1…557ebacked Dplus KIA34c209.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.312540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9f…31e3backed Dplus KIA63c206.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8756…3c83backed T156c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888543.5%37 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked T138c181.58$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5811329.2%33 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc1a…6049backed T138c173.68$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.688240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Dplus KIA33c167.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4746452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed T136c155.11$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.217136.3%62 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Dplus KIA60c151$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.644743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed T138c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5821946.6%102 W · 117 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e83…a620backed T138c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.586253.2%33 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf5…95adbacked T138c120$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.44957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed T140c115.28$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.961,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed T138c113.06$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1639445.2%178 W · 216 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc99e…74abbacked T138c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.262420.8%5 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-42.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Dplus KIA33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333050%15 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+122%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Dplus KIA63c99.78$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8614450.7%73 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e2…68f1backed T138c90$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.821256.1%119 W · 93 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked T136c87.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5612145.5%55 W · 66 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Dplus KIA63c85.76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.033450%17 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed T138c85.58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.069259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed T136c82.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.561,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Dplus KIA63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509060%54 W · 36 L+10.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Dplus KIA63c79.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46dc…8d21backed Dplus KIA62c76.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.71338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Dplus KIA35c75.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.21,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Dplus KIA54c72.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8539859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed T142c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4318555.1%102 W · 83 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b58…b1ecbacked Dplus KIA70c71.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Dplus KIA62c66.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.217349.7%86 W · 87 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb23d…8ba5backed T138c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.793644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed T139c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.121150.7%107 W · 104 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4629…8639backed Dplus KIA63c62.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.234555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Dplus KIA61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.69735.1%34 W · 63 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Dplus KIA33c58.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.158637.2%32 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed T138c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6331352.4%164 W · 149 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Dplus KIA62c52.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5249847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed T139c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2828759.9%172 W · 115 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5338…f428backed Dplus KIA63c50.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-59.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc508…6b56backed T138c50.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.115242.3%22 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed T138c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3110657.5%61 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Dplus KIA62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3142751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Dplus KIA60c47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.239056.4%220 W · 170 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed T140c44.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.721939.3%86 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Dplus KIA62c41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4210548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed Dplus KIA62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae0b…0913backed Dplus KIA63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257762.3%48 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x097c…630abacked T138c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.471776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7115…2b2fbacked Dplus KIA68c36.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.