TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$807,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$900,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $807,534 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 508 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dplus KIA36c281,353$100,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,848.691,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed T164c145,653$93,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,435.121,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed T164c50,000$32,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,00014247.2%67 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed T165c49,998$32,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,721.5125143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Dplus KIA35c28,571$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0008951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bac…6fb7backed T164c24,678$15,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,884.1618633.3%62 W · 124 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Dplus KIA34c18,973$6,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,451.791,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked T165c18,473$12,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,425.531,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Dplus KIA8c18,387$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.711,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Dplus KIA5c17,672$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.061,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed T166c14,004$9,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,761.4253750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac9d…1687backed Dplus KIA36c13,554$4,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,879.425431.5%17 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70e5…b0d3backed Dplus KIA16c13,527$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.721921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Dplus KIA16c13,276$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.0948844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2ab…3d8bbacked Dplus KIA35c12,407$4,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,342.555530.9%17 W · 38 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-36.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Dplus KIA36c10,417$3,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,744.4564155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5903…d02bbacked Dplus KIA36c10,275$3,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,69914327.3%39 W · 104 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Dplus KIA15c10,023$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.6138624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d0…42b1backed Dplus KIA35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.955942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed T169c9,069$6,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,843.331,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked Dplus KIA24c9,000$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.9749541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Dplus KIA19c8,951$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.931,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc639…b442backed T165c7,108$4,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,509.191968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf64f…9f48backed Dplus KIA15c5,864$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.546230.6%19 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed T164c5,600$3,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0168143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Dplus KIA37c5,086$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.677030%21 W · 49 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Dplus KIA16c4,680$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.781,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed T166c4,271$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.214461.4%27 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cca…c501backed Dplus KIA35c3,774$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.942828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-41.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Dplus KIA36c3,716$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.935234.6%18 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Dplus KIA14c3,643$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.41,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked T165c3,640$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2743348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb098…3363backed T164c3,100$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11619157.1%109 W · 82 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed T166c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Dplus KIA17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-73.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Dplus KIA28c3,000$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.971,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Dplus KIA34c2,900$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.1330321.8%66 W · 237 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed T167c2,782$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.7441439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d29…8e90backed T164c2,767$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.2319559%115 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Dplus KIA4c2,712$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1744451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96f8…2560backed T178c2,531$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.9337660.9%229 W · 147 L-28.1wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef24…f43ebacked Dplus KIA35c2,528$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.188847.7%42 W · 46 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Dplus KIA35c2,526$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.986553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed T165c2,525$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7521154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f2f…9d99backed T163c2,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9251163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed T164c2,459$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.3154529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked T166c2,450$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.121,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba8…d72bbacked T162c2,335$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.8517659.7%105 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed T164c2,320$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.718467.9%125 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Dplus KIA12c2,187$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.481,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e3…c540backed Dplus KIA20c2,123$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.7515146.4%70 W · 81 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Dplus KIA4c2,061$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.091,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked T174c2,006$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52766845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked T165c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70026360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dplus KIA17c1,947$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.9620826.9%56 W · 152 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70c6…b544backed T166c1,849$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked T164c1,820$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.412462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked T166c1,818$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.1712260.7%74 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed T168c1,750$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.791,05746.1%487 W · 570 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Dplus KIA12c1,750$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0585442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Dplus KIA12c1,750$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.051,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed T165c1,711$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.7816439%64 W · 100 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked Dplus KIA41c1,622$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.074528.9%13 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Dplus KIA36c1,611$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58010243.1%44 W · 58 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed T177c1,556$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.731,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Dplus KIA15c1,555$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.232,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02f0…c55dbacked T166c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1511330.1%34 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed T166c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1553753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadff…939abacked T166c1,513$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.295825.9%15 W · 43 L-8.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed T164c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Dplus KIA15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2255420.4%11 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Dplus KIA39c1,463$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.411030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Dplus KIA35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.1542941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked T165c1,361$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.8253139.9%212 W · 319 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Dplus KIA28c1,350$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.9967549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed T164c1,256$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.1676142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked T164c1,255$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.895041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked Dplus KIA40c1,247$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Dplus KIA36c1,223$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.3719744.2%87 W · 110 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Dplus KIA35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42032145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Dplus KIA34c1,200$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40844335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed T164c1,200$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.9934568.7%237 W · 108 L+24.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcc7…fc33backed T166c1,192$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.3110055%55 W · 45 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc534…b734backed Dplus KIA4c1,125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Dplus KIA25c1,124$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.0317136.3%62 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d56…f330backed T165c1,118$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Dplus KIA34c1,100$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.984146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Dplus KIA36c1,072$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.9522757.3%130 W · 97 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed T174c1,062$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.7166058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed T165c1,057$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9286144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed T172c1,045$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.3849461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Dplus KIA34c1,030$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.264749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed T166c1,029$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.911,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5d6…8267backed Dplus KIA35c1,020$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.967152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed Dplus KIA9c1,016$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.525833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Dplus KIA18c1,004$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.52,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Dplus KIA35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35014852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed T165c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35025065.6%164 W · 86 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed T165c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed T164c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3608922.5%20 W · 69 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.