Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe26bee2f2409b4ce601aa9598323cbd50b7bbc3015402b64393f66b5045cbf32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 53c | 1,444$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.66 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 53c | 999.97$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 47c | 720.98$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.96 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 47c | 620$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.4 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 46c | 528.06$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.91 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Over | 47c | 395.06$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 49c | 387.39$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 68c | 378.91$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.9 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 66c | 290.83$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 13c | 270.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Under | 54c | 235.46$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 52c | 203.32$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.66 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Under | 56c | 199.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 47c | 198.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 62c | 179$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 13c | 137.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 23c | 136.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 51c | 116.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Under | 66c | 111.55$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 37c | 108.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Over | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…2d95backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…b8bebacked Over | 47c | 97.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 54c | 93.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…5808backed Under | 53c | 72.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 63.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 345 | 65.5%226 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Over | 56c | 52.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 48.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…bb29backed Over | 47c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Over | 39c | 46.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…1689backed Over | 47c | 42.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 49c | 40.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…184dbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…d7fbbacked Over | 32c | 36.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Under | 62c | 33.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…31f5backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…29ecbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…8d00backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6923…7592backed Over | 47c | 21.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…767cbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)T1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2T1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.