TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x713f…2d95

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.67
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.1
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$45.05
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$78.88
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$41.76
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.86
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.13
Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group Abacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs 5star - Map 1 Winnerbacked 5star · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$32.67
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.86
Counter-Strike: 5star vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winnerbacked 5star · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$49.07
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Abacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.58
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Chinggis Warriors - Map 2 Winnerbacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.24
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.3
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Galorys - Map 2 Winnerbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$11.3
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.16
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.46
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$18.61
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.7
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.78
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.12
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$45.89
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.13
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.93
LoL: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.8
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$37.34
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+76.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: REBORN vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Playoffsbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG - Map 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.