Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf7644d51201eea5864de2e2651e60d3f20364f792b7d0f37f4b082d737496cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked G2 Esports | 60c | 5,897$3,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.69 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed G2 Esports | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.21 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NRG | 42c | 2,597$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.83 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked G2 Esports | 79c | 2,401$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.21 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG | 30c | 1,691$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.68 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NRG | 42c | 1,624$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.96 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 38c | 1,452$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.6 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NRG | 42c | 1,283$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.56 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed G2 Esports | 68c | 1,234$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.55 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked NRG | 17c | 1,127$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed NRG | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked NRG | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked NRG | 55c | 877.64$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.57 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed NRG | 47c | 830$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed G2 Esports | 63c | 785.63$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.68 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…a291backed NRG | 3c | 698.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked G2 Esports | 61c | 686$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.72 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked G2 Esports | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef2…4e03backed G2 Esports | 59c | 556.02$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed NRG | 30c | 541.27$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.38 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fa…26d9backed NRG | 45c | 501.73$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked NRG | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed NRG | 45c | 437.6$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.92 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed NRG | 22c | 340.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked G2 Esports | 56c | 323.85$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked G2 Esports | 53c | 319.53$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.44 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed NRG | 28c | 306.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed NRG | 36c | 306.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked G2 Esports | 72c | 249.45$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed NRG | 32c | 233.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG | 28c | 224.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed NRG | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked NRG | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked G2 Esports | 51c | 215.89$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…05b6backed NRG | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed NRG | 30c | 214.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed G2 Esports | 55c | 201.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…9f56backed NRG | 18c | 200.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked G2 Esports | 58c | 199.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NRG | 43c | 166.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed NRG | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed NRG | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…abf3backed G2 Esports | 60c | 144.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked G2 Esports | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed NRG | 30c | 123.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed G2 Esports | 58c | 113$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NRG | 44c | 112.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked G2 Esports | 62c | 104.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked G2 Esports | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked G2 Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…2d95backed G2 Esports | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NRG | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Esports | 61c | 76.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 Esports | 44c | 66.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed NRG | 43c | 64.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…c3a0backed NRG | 30c | 59.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…7ea2backed NRG | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb45…0c68backed G2 Esports | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed NRG | 32c | 42.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed NRG | 46c | 41.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…e1edbacked NRG | 40c | 27.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NRG | 43c | 27.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked NRG | 39c | 26.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…1214backed NRG | 43c | 25.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f77…39f8backed G2 Esports | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked NRG | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed G2 Esports | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e3…637bbacked G2 Esports | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)NRG won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG - Map 4 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.