Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b3a7144c3aab4d8d3a33544b145fb9ff453bdd7a5d370a2dd9a8259e30e29e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof G2 Esports, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked NRG | 53c | 11,244$5,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.53 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked G2 Esports | 53c | 8,468$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed G2 Esports | 41c | 3,524$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.78 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked G2 Esports | 38c | 3,414$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.54 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed G2 Esports | 16c | 3,172$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NRG | 59c | 2,760$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.43 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked G2 Esports | 57c | 2,581$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.03 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed G2 Esports | 61c | 2,495$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NRG | 62c | 2,133$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NRG | 67c | 1,980$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.9 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 51c | 1,707$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.53 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed NRG | 49c | 1,233$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.83 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed G2 Esports | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.99 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed NRG | 44c | 1,068$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.83 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Esports | 51c | 1,051$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.93 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed NRG | 37c | 930.06$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.94 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed NRG | 51c | 750$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…7ab6backed NRG | 52c | 733.03$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed NRG | 45c | 678.85$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.37 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed G2 Esports | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed G2 Esports | 49c | 543.32$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.59 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked G2 Esports | 50c | 525.35$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.19 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked NRG | 39c | 512.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked NRG | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked NRG | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed NRG | 52c | 443.49$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.88 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed NRG | 53c | 419.12$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.03 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked NRG | 45c | 413.12$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.12 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed G2 Esports | 44c | 380.92$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.79 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked NRG | 44c | 350$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed NRG | 48c | 308$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed NRG | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef2…4e03backed G2 Esports | 56c | 255.95$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked NRG | 36c | 251.12$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.12 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked NRG | 48c | 220$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed G2 Esports | 50c | 216$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked NRG | 60c | 211.5$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed NRG | 41c | 206.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed NRG | 32c | 193.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.57 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed G2 Esports | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed NRG | 51c | 154.51$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed G2 Esports | 48c | 151$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed NRG | 67c | 150.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked NRG | 50c | 148.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed G2 Esports | 31c | 147.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed G2 Esports | 52c | 135.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Esports | 46c | 134.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked G2 Esports | 51c | 128.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…05b6backed NRG | 47c | 126$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed NRG | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked NRG | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked NRG | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed G2 Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…abf3backed G2 Esports | 56c | 90.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked NRG | 51c | 89.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed NRG | 43c | 79.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed G2 Esports | 54c | 73.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed G2 Esports | 45c | 67.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed NRG | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed G2 Esports | 54c | 55.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed NRG | 37c | 54.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed NRG | 63c | 49.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NRG | 46c | 46.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e3…637bbacked G2 Esports | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed NRG | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked NRG | 49c | 40.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NRG | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed G2 Esports | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…8b15backed G2 Esports | 38c | 31.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed NRG | 49c | 27.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed G2 Esports | 56c | 26.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed NRG | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed G2 Esports | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked G2 Esports | 48c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed NRG | 63c | 23.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)NRG won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG - Map 3 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.