CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9b308fe26d65e29233b6709b87e78228682c244609818ee617f7bdab91643f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof Heroic, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $431,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $473,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 438 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Heroic | 60c | 26,000$15,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,474.89 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Heroic | 60c | 20,019$12,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,011.47 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed magic | 37c | 19,847$7,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,423.61 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed magic | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Heroic | 48c | 12,442$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,916.48 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 41c | 11,945$4,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,092.88 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked magic | 49c | 11,406$5,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,868.24 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed magic | 58c | 9,378$5,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,954.15 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Heroic | 40c | 8,911$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553.82 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Heroic | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heroic | 44c | 8,176$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.17 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed magic | 57c | 7,735$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.31 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 37c | 6,977$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.32 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Heroic | 49c | 6,949$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.56 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed magic | 46c | 6,755$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663.4 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked magic | 41c | 6,500$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.97 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed magic | 77c | 6,458$4,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.21 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Heroic | 39c | 6,175$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.11 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ac…3e47backed magic | 79c | 6,110$4,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.84 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…6e31backed magic | 37c | 5,124$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Heroic | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Heroic | 47c | 4,874$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.64 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked magic | 43c | 4,773$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,711.84 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed Heroic | 34c | 4,590$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.98 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Heroic | 33c | 3,854$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.09 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed magic | 40c | 3,808$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.97 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Heroic | 17c | 3,694$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.36 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 43c | 3,673$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.57 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed magic | 51c | 3,547$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.56 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed magic | 71c | 3,424$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.44 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 42c | 2,897$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.16 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…cf10backed Heroic | 51c | 2,757$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Heroic | 45c | 2,747$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.61 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed magic | 38c | 2,650$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.92 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic | 11c | 2,610$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.22 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed magic | 38c | 2,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.98 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked magic | 40c | 2,294$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.63 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Heroic | 59c | 2,171$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.12 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Heroic | 49c | 2,034$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.03 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed magic | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Heroic | 63c | 1,900$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.8 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 10c | 1,895$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.86 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Heroic | 62c | 1,840$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141 | 200 | 41.5%83 W · 117 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 42c | 1,809$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.12 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Heroic | 43c | 1,784$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.79 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed magic | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.88 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…f476backed Heroic | 42c | 1,633$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Heroic | 54c | 1,607$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.56 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked magic | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Heroic | 52c | 1,522$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.39 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed magic | 49c | 1,515$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.65 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Heroic | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Heroic | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Heroic | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Heroic | 42c | 1,421$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.81 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked magic | 63c | 1,330$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.99 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Heroic | 37c | 1,307$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.8 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed magic | 38c | 1,302$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.96 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Heroic | 58c | 1,289$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.67 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed magic | 41c | 1,239$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.23 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed magic | 60c | 1,196$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.08 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed magic | 40c | 1,184$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed magic | 51c | 1,141$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Heroic | 59c | 1,111$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.49 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked magic | 40c | 1,106$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.66 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Heroic | 62c | 1,013$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed magic | 49c | 1,007$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.13 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked magic | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed magic | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed magic | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed magic | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked magic | 39c | 999.96$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.97 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed magic | 47c | 992$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.24 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Heroic | 38c | 977.68$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.22 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed magic | 35c | 974.95$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.72 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed magic | 42c | 953.04$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.68 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Heroic | 9c | 949.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…5d19backed Heroic | 47c | 939.19$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Heroic | 39c | 930$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.18 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed magic | 43c | 896$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.96 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed magic | 61c | 892.73$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.69 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…d248backed Heroic | 60c | 832.72$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Heroic | 7c | 816$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked magic | 38c | 800$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked magic | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.33per pick | 49cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked magic | 36c | 785.58$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.91 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed Heroic | 37c | 779.89$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.67 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Heroic | 35c | 772.86$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Heroic | 43c | 768.35$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.59 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Heroic | 59c | 768.31$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.42 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Heroic | 60c | 744.14$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.99 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8264backed Heroic | 59c | 726.8$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed magic | 42c | 718.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.06 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Heroic | 31c | 700$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed magic | 41c | 700$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed magic | 44c | 694.02$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.98 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Heroic | 59c | 666$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.94 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fa…f86fbacked magic | 40c | 660$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked magic | 76c | 659.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.93 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed magic | 56c | 647.58$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.37 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.