TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof Heroic, magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,405

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,828 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Heroic64c35,000$22,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,513.7350054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked magic10c13,078$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.5130726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked magic31c10,457$3,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2563,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Heroic65c6,115$3,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.6244957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed magic39c5,750$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.9828248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked magic41c5,030$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,06363541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Heroic58c4,868$2,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.4515052.7%79 W · 71 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked magic35c4,253$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.723,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Heroic72c4,100$2,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.7214042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed magic40c3,459$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.842,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked magic41c2,555$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04832542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked magic7c2,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16561228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed magic41c2,402$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.1787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf6a…925fbacked Heroic59c2,099$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.65742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed magic41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.0123243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Heroic59c1,900$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77964852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed magic41c1,838$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.9452951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked magic33c1,716$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.361,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5629…50dabacked magic20c1,653$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.181442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed magic30c1,583$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.925248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed magic5c1,500$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7741716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked magic24c1,454$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.442,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed magic33c1,434$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.975,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Heroic59c1,278$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.8445058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed magic40c1,081$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.542,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed magic25c1,067$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.314,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Heroic73c1,035$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.181,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed magic32c832.84$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.881,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed magic40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32046345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed magic27c741.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015133.1%50 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked magic28c698.57$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.618933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed magic42c683.73$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.171,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked magic31c605.27$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6317849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Heroic76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed magic26c511.65$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.426,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked magic30c510$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.426341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked magic40c500.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.017,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked magic23c446.21$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.732,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed magic7c441.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9460838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…b170backed Heroic59c439.14$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.0511442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed magic9c395.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514135.5%50 W · 91 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed magic29c350$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4750846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Heroic78c343.67$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.764,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed magic37c337.84$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.031,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked magic30c281.86$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.827452.2%143 W · 131 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe297…e484backed magic40c250$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9932258.7%189 W · 133 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked magic30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed magic31c250$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2124942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Heroic68c249.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809863.3%62 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked magic39c249.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.349061.1%55 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed magic39c218.71$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.329441.5%39 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked magic37c210.64$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.92,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked magic38c204.75$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.364942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Heroic71c196.46$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1867372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Heroic59c194.41$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.711,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked magic27c182.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2f3…1732backed Heroic58c175$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.53167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Heroic71c163.64$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7743544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed magic22c145.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.276030%18 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Heroic61c127.87$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8722252.7%117 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed magic40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Heroic61c122.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9522654.9%124 W · 102 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked magic20c111.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.93,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed magic18c105.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1919329%56 W · 137 L-23.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic75c99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.755,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Heroic71c97.28$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.191,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Heroic59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7530259.3%179 W · 123 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed magic30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed Heroic61c78.69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6929757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed magic26c78.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.734,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed magic30c76.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322556%126 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed magic38c68.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4211259.8%67 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd19a…449ebacked magic30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed magic25c64.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.265850%29 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3600…f72bbacked magic41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531950.5%161 W · 158 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked magic21c57.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.881,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd98e…4788backed Heroic65c54.63$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.991030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed magic39c54.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2610254.9%56 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x287f…4450backed magic31c50.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Heroic73c50.22$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5623861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Heroic58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2136845.9%169 W · 199 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Heroic59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.547165.2%307 W · 164 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d5…7146backed Heroic58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+44.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8372…01e6backed Heroic74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136365.1%41 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeea…8c15backed Heroic60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202556%14 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked magic39c49.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.439740.2%39 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked magic39c49.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4311740.2%47 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked magic39c49.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.437040%28 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf48e…428fbacked magic42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011147.7%53 W · 58 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8351…3da2backed Heroic66c45.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.341145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed magic31c45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.862,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Heroic59c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4536446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed Heroic68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1241147.7%196 W · 215 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed magic42c42.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1849947.5%237 W · 262 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Heroic59c42.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.515543.6%24 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Heroic58c42.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.891,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Heroic61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9826443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed magic28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.033231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-44.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Heroic61c39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.216055%33 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.