CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1185738ab52e00593ad1117c41328181c59be222ec73c97535b7bfd35cc5b72c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Heroic | 64c | 35,000$22,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,513.73 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked magic | 10c | 13,078$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.51 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked magic | 31c | 10,457$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Heroic | 65c | 6,115$3,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.62 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed magic | 39c | 5,750$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.98 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked magic | 41c | 5,030$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Heroic | 58c | 4,868$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.45 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked magic | 35c | 4,253$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.72 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Heroic | 72c | 4,100$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.72 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed magic | 40c | 3,459$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.84 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked magic | 41c | 2,555$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked magic | 7c | 2,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed magic | 41c | 2,402$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.17 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6a…925fbacked Heroic | 59c | 2,099$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.6 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed magic | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.01 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Heroic | 59c | 1,900$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed magic | 41c | 1,838$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.94 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked magic | 33c | 1,716$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.36 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5629…50dabacked magic | 20c | 1,653$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed magic | 30c | 1,583$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.9 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed magic | 5c | 1,500$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked magic | 24c | 1,454$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.44 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed magic | 33c | 1,434$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.97 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Heroic | 59c | 1,278$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.84 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed magic | 40c | 1,081$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.54 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed magic | 25c | 1,067$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.31 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Heroic | 73c | 1,035$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.18 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed magic | 32c | 832.84$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.88 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed magic | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed magic | 27c | 741.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 151 | 33.1%50 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked magic | 28c | 698.57$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.6 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed magic | 42c | 683.73$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.17 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked magic | 31c | 605.27$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.63 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Heroic | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed magic | 26c | 511.65$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.42 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked magic | 30c | 510$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.4 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked magic | 40c | 500.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked magic | 23c | 446.21$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.73 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed magic | 7c | 441.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed Heroic | 59c | 439.14$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.05 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed magic | 9c | 395.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed magic | 29c | 350$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Heroic | 78c | 343.67$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed magic | 37c | 337.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked magic | 30c | 281.86$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed magic | 40c | 250$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked magic | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed magic | 31c | 250$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Heroic | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked magic | 39c | 249.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed magic | 39c | 218.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked magic | 37c | 210.64$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked magic | 38c | 204.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Heroic | 71c | 196.46$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Heroic | 59c | 194.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked magic | 27c | 182.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f3…1732backed Heroic | 58c | 175$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Heroic | 71c | 163.64$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed magic | 22c | 145.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Heroic | 61c | 127.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed magic | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Heroic | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked magic | 20c | 111.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed magic | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic | 75c | 99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Heroic | 71c | 97.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Heroic | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed magic | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Heroic | 61c | 78.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed magic | 26c | 78.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed magic | 30c | 76.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed magic | 38c | 68.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…449ebacked magic | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed magic | 25c | 64.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked magic | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 319 | 50.5%161 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked magic | 21c | 57.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd98e…4788backed Heroic | 65c | 54.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed magic | 39c | 54.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287f…4450backed magic | 31c | 50.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Heroic | 73c | 50.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Heroic | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Heroic | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7146backed Heroic | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…01e6backed Heroic | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeea…8c15backed Heroic | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked magic | 39c | 49.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked magic | 39c | 49.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked magic | 39c | 49.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…428fbacked magic | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…3da2backed Heroic | 66c | 45.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed magic | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Heroic | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Heroic | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed magic | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Heroic | 59c | 42.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Heroic | 58c | 42.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Heroic | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed magic | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Heroic | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagemagic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.