CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cf6a0e4ba0b8d50e8306090ed0858590db819314a75668c2c8d159d76962d3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof Heroic, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed magic | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heroic | 36c | 8,648$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.88 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked magic | 70c | 7,101$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.19 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Heroic | 41c | 5,639$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.04 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…cf10backed Heroic | 37c | 5,345$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed magic | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.97 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 47c | 3,476$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.62 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Heroic | 48c | 3,004$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.81 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed magic | 58c | 2,760$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.62 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked magic | 49c | 2,500$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed magic | 30c | 1,687$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.13 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed magic | 48c | 1,546$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.46 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Heroic | 35c | 1,508$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.18 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Heroic | 34c | 1,411$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.8 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Heroic | 36c | 1,394$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.09 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Heroic | 34c | 1,227$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.56 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed magic | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked magic | 59c | 1,034$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.6 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Heroic | 35c | 956.88$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.85 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed magic | 65c | 843.45$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.74 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked magic | 45c | 717$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed magic | 48c | 625.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.49 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic | 27c | 539.5$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.67 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed magic | 66c | 538.08$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.57 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed magic | 59c | 519.06$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.29 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked magic | 62c | 515.03$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.07 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Heroic | 50c | 500$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Heroic | 52c | 495$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Heroic | 32c | 490.45$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.25 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Heroic | 17c | 449.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 587 | 55.9%328 W · 259 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed magic | 75c | 405.39$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked magic | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Heroic | 35c | 382.87$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Heroic | 35c | 346.6$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Heroic | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic | 26c | 290.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Heroic | 31c | 281.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed magic | 73c | 273.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Heroic | 34c | 254$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…d709backed Heroic | 30c | 245.84$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed magic | 48c | 237.43$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.46 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Heroic | 43c | 233.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked magic | 47c | 211.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.42 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Heroic | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Heroic | 23c | 187.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic | 28c | 178.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Heroic | 37c | 164.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed magic | 62c | 161.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Heroic | 64c | 157.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1485…f4b2backed magic | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed magic | 48c | 140$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Heroic | 74c | 132$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed magic | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Heroic | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Heroic | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Heroic | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Heroic | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Heroic | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Heroic | 25c | 98.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Heroic | 33c | 95.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked Heroic | 27c | 94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Heroic | 47c | 92.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Heroic | 47c | 92.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed magic | 49c | 88.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked magic | 61c | 80.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed magic | 57c | 75.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed magic | 47c | 73.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Heroic | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Heroic | 40c | 66.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Heroic | 24c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Heroic | 48c | 64.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Heroic | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Heroic | 39c | 62.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Heroic | 57c | 55.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Heroic | 54c | 55.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 384 | 56.3%216 W · 168 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Heroic | 37c | 50.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Heroic | 37c | 50.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Heroic | 37c | 50.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Heroic | 37c | 50.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…c249backed Heroic | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed magic | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed magic | 66c | 43.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked magic | 66c | 40.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Heroic | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -8.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed magic | 62c | 38.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Heroic | 38c | 38.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Heroic | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked magic | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Heroic | 51c | 35.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Heroic | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Heroic | 44c | 34.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Heroic | 39c | 33.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Heroic | 33c | 32.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked magic | 46c | 31.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Heroic | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed magic | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed magic | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Heroic | 37c | 28.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Heroic | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Heroic | 52c | 26.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagemagic won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.