TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Nongshim Red Force
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,124 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed T167c37,388$25,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,337.91,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Nongshim Red Force31c23,357$7,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,218.1625143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Nongshim Red Force33c21,892$7,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,224.371,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Nongshim Red Force32c20,051$6,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,466.8814549.7%72 W · 73 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked T169c19,432$13,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,023.8512664.3%81 W · 45 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed T170c18,000$12,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,36091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed T169c16,577$11,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,138.781060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-7.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Nongshim Red Force33c13,713$4,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,525.3648742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nongshim Red Force32c12,171$3,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,864.670456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nongshim Red Force31c11,078$3,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,422.41,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed T169c11,000$7,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,41059450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T167c10,000$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Nongshim Red Force32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.9782352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Nongshim Red Force31c9,095$2,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,806.2554353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Nongshim Red Force30c6,671$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.6252750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed T168c6,637$4,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Nongshim Red Force31c5,555$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.051,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked T170c5,122$3,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.044040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Nongshim Red Force31c4,500$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3951,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Nongshim Red Force32c4,450$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4241,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Nongshim Red Force30c4,421$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.851,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Nongshim Red Force24c3,996$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9597030%21 W · 49 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked T169c3,515$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.6525447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed T171c3,245$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.517758.4%45 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nongshim Red Force31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.961,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked T168c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.8444550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed T169c2,593$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.544461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T168c2,245$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.241,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Nongshim Red Force32c1,928$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62575630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nongshim Red Force31c1,848$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.8832941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed T167c1,751$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.951,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed T170c1,430$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42919053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked T171c1,363$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.8928253.5%151 W · 131 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked T169c1,349$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.2220045%90 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nongshim Red Force30c1,328$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.0318336.6%67 W · 116 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Nongshim Red Force27c1,256$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.590537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1de2…970ebacked Nongshim Red Force3c1,183$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb627…2d13backed T170c1,145$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.9251552.6%271 W · 244 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Nongshim Red Force29c1,121$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.087042.9%30 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed T168c1,086$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.3716346.6%76 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed T169c1,021$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.9386144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed T169c1,017$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.147455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed T167c999.97$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.991,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Nongshim Red Force32c999.88$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9657945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked T168c979.22$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.9412462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Nongshim Red Force32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26c6…1e14backed Nongshim Red Force33c820$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.628350.2%142 W · 141 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ba8…d72bbacked T168c809.46$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.0317659.7%105 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed T170c800$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24085746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Nongshim Red Force32c747.68$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.261,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked T169c747.15$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.1926645.9%122 W · 144 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked T168c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2935353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60cd…93f5backed T168c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2923672%170 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed T169c731.85$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.8752848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Nongshim Red Force33c599.98$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9964453.9%347 W · 297 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Nongshim Red Force33c596.53$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9322142.5%94 W · 127 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Nongshim Red Force31c565.14$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17860849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed T171c563.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.431952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac42…60d1backed Nongshim Red Force31c559$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.297626.3%20 W · 56 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x789b…11f8backed T168c549.98$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.999751.5%50 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed T169c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Nongshim Red Force31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15529952.2%156 W · 143 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed T167c499.98$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9966059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c36…08f5backed Nongshim Red Force33c459.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015635.9%56 W · 100 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Nongshim Red Force33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed T170c450.67$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.211567.8%78 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Nongshim Red Force31c424.79$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6823832.4%77 W · 161 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed T168c399.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12841343.6%180 W · 233 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd91…3cc3backed Nongshim Red Force32c375$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011436.8%42 W · 72 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc4…d48cbacked Nongshim Red Force33c365.81$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12027540.4%111 W · 164 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed T169c362.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3265063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked T169c362.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3250956.2%286 W · 223 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ea…3668backed Nongshim Red Force32c313$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1611246.4%52 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x179d…26abbacked Nongshim Red Force32c310$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.253829.9%161 W · 377 L-19.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Nongshim Red Force33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed T167c300.96$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.318055%44 W · 36 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed T172c300.07$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.696149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Nongshim Red Force31c295.65$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.651,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed T168c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1210253.9%55 W · 47 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked T168c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1221559.5%128 W · 87 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…ccffbacked T169c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed T170c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.711553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed T168c276.16$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3711561.7%71 W · 44 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed T170c267.09$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.131258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c82…5a52backed T169c262.32$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3231661.1%193 W · 123 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d38…3575backed T170c258$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.45149%25 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed T179c252.91$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9124656.1%138 W · 108 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Nongshim Red Force31c230$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.360538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc1a…6049backed T169c226.09$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.098240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8106…bd36backed T168c223.19$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.421643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Nongshim Red Force31c220$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.21,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed T170c214.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3736752%191 W · 176 L-18.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed T170c214.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3779864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked T168c201.93$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.621,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91dc…7663backed Nongshim Red Force22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444341.9%18 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed T170c199.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6067763.4%429 W · 248 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfabc…7178backed Nongshim Red Force32c196.79$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0219941.7%83 W · 116 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Nongshim Red Force32c193.11$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.849847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked T168c189.33$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.592556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked T168c169.12$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1215756.7%89 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.