TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Nongshim Red Force
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$588,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$705,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,558 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb25…eb12backed Nongshim Red Force17c26,549$4,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,446.653540%14 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x663d…2dd4backed T159c19,631$11,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,128.8817155%94 W · 77 L+16.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Nongshim Red Force13c16,427$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,165.6451044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Nongshim Red Force19c15,333$2,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,860.631,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nongshim Red Force23c14,922$3,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,397.061,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8f…de20backed T178c12,413$9,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.6712652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Nongshim Red Force16c11,415$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.586541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed T179c11,325$8,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.540370.2%283 W · 120 L+31.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nongshim Red Force23c10,345$2,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.5190348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Nongshim Red Force18c9,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.9930945.3%140 W · 169 L+1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc3…6c57backed T176c8,300$6,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.954963.3%31 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed Nongshim Red Force29c7,275$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.1251348%246 W · 267 L+25.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked T173c6,521$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.637263.9%46 W · 26 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Nongshim Red Force18c5,842$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.0317133.9%58 W · 113 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked T169c5,427$3,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.431,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Nongshim Red Force24c5,233$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.011,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Nongshim Red Force43c5,000$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.553355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Nongshim Red Force21c4,916$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.451,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Nongshim Red Force19c4,569$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Nongshim Red Force20c4,522$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.311,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed T173c4,457$3,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.1941439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Nongshim Red Force22c4,407$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.9485442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed Nongshim Red Force19c4,347$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82613831.2%43 W · 95 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Nongshim Red Force19c4,325$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.812842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed Nongshim Red Force18c4,284$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.3648533.6%163 W · 322 L+23.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Nongshim Red Force5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Nongshim Red Force28c3,865$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.491,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe80e…a4c5backed T178c3,821$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.718442.4%78 W · 106 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Nongshim Red Force18c3,800$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.524147.3%114 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Nongshim Red Force17c3,676$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.9285836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Nongshim Red Force32c3,634$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.625952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Nongshim Red Force19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Nongshim Red Force28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8401,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Nongshim Red Force18c2,981$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.2747533.3%158 W · 317 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked Nongshim Red Force67c2,951$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.516241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5cc2…e3e3backed T180c2,748$2,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.57666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Nongshim Red Force19c2,558$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.311,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Nongshim Red Force18c2,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9930321.8%66 W · 237 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nongshim Red Force36c2,437$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.4295041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed Nongshim Red Force29c2,265$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.1962158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Nongshim Red Force29c2,184$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.3676142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Nongshim Red Force27c2,178$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.0632844.2%145 W · 183 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e4…65e7backed Nongshim Red Force30c2,160$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.435044%22 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dfe…2ac7backed Nongshim Red Force28c2,145$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T180c2,121$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.21,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Nongshim Red Force47c2,108$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98437754.1%204 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Nongshim Red Force15c2,080$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31611839%46 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Nongshim Red Force20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009344.1%41 W · 52 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked T179c1,750$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3751,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Nongshim Red Force52c1,721$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90076639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Nongshim Red Force19c1,671$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.441631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d29…8e90backed T179c1,639$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.7419559%115 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x059b…efc2backed Nongshim Red Force26c1,575$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.345350.9%27 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed T172c1,527$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.5655844.6%249 W · 309 L-27.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Nongshim Red Force26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39050242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked T168c1,498$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.522,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked Nongshim Red Force42c1,370$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.7843358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Nongshim Red Force28c1,363$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.571,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Nongshim Red Force19c1,353$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.7757947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Nongshim Red Force17c1,331$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.0758850.5%297 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde19…3a14backed Nongshim Red Force57c1,316$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75013852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Nongshim Red Force33c1,256$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.681,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed T170c1,223$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8214035.7%50 W · 90 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nongshim Red Force19c1,200$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.942,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed T171c1,200$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.6682953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ede…47fabacked T176c1,072$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.151662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Nongshim Red Force32c1,050$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3362,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2051…f9f1backed T172c1,045$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.2749253.5%263 W · 229 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Nongshim Red Force31c1,020$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9274250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed T161c1,006$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.4985652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked T178c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22025447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Nongshim Red Force57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57083560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked T170c999.99$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30032457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed T144c999.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56055639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed Nongshim Red Force10c999.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042924.2%104 W · 325 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Nongshim Red Force14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Nongshim Red Force19c984.01$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19047933.6%161 W · 318 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Nongshim Red Force4c970.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.431,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0290…e1bcbacked T178c899.68$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.68757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Nongshim Red Force29c870.12$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25418742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed T179c850$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4746263.9%295 W · 167 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed T170c832.27$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.681,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Nongshim Red Force27c824.11$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22513452.2%70 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Nongshim Red Force57c822.03$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.8189347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd621…b9efbacked T172c800$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22125241.3%104 W · 148 L+16.3wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Nongshim Red Force24c791.67$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19055347%260 W · 293 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Nongshim Red Force19c753.98$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.26333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Nongshim Red Force21c744.86$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.391,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Nongshim Red Force64c732$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.481,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed T153c716.02$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.211,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Nongshim Red Force26c699.99$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.6511753%62 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Nongshim Red Force19c678.53$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9238835.3%137 W · 251 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Nongshim Red Force29c663.86$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5228652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdcb…b1eabacked T178c642.83$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3430548.9%149 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nongshim Red Force43c640.8$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.723,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x817c…0817backed Nongshim Red Force40c600$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.0612045%54 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Nongshim Red Force26c600$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.232,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb7…7216backed Nongshim Red Force19c591.32$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122015%3 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-64.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0fb…b170backed T171c559.15$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.156952.2%36 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked T175c550$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.550155.3%277 W · 224 L-21.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.