TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6cb7…7216

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-64.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,621Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,621.28
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.32
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.64
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.14
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.19
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.32
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.99
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.99
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.74
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+298.7%+$323.6
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$573.32
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.34
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$769.33
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$74.67
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.72
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$52.71
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.18
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$222
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.62
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$214.29
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$313.72
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.99
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$598.02
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.5
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$978.95
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.05
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Dooho Choi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,902Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+145.4%+$4,219.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.