Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd790740baf9d96b30d8ddfc9412f8fc0e6fb7cfcae06e987ae1691e7b9717895

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Curaçaoof Ecuador, Curaçao
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,373,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,366,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,373,276 — the venue’s figure.

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Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 872 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Curaçao	40c	390,654$157,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233,628.88	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Ecuador	65c	47,713$31,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,012.27	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Curaçao	36c	40,111$14,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,473.66	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Curaçao	34c	40,000$13,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,199.81	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a2…353abacked Ecuador	65c	39,631$25,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,567.26	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Ecuador	65c	37,503$24,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,396.87	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Ecuador	64c	30,328$19,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,409.61	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Ecuador	43c	28,420$12,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,339.27	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Ecuador	9c	27,777$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.96	145	42.1%61 W · 84 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Ecuador	66c	21,463$14,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,111.45	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Ecuador	67c	20,350$13,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,548.21	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Ecuador	30c	20,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,999.99	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Ecuador	21c	17,720$3,756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,755.75	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Curaçao	46c	17,246$7,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,370.44	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Ecuador	59c	17,245$10,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,239.05	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Ecuador	42c	15,000$6,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,300	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Curaçao	60c	13,351$8,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,336.4	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Ecuador	64c	12,586$8,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,112.54	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Ecuador	40c	12,500$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	81	35.8%29 W · 52 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Curaçao	49c	11,797$5,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,027.11	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Ecuador	39c	10,439$4,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,033.49	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Ecuador	62c	10,056$6,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,271.32	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Ecuador	55c	10,000$5,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,450	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Ecuador	65c	10,000$6,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,500	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Ecuador	65c	10,000$6,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,499.99	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Ecuador	58c	10,000$5,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,849.98	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Ecuador	42c	10,000$4,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,199.98	108	51.9%56 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Ecuador	68c	9,899$6,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,700	136	39%53 W · 83 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Curaçao	36c	9,500$3,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,069.96	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked Ecuador	64c	9,319$5,964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,963.98	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc2f…a15fbacked Ecuador	65c	9,236$6,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,003.5	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ecuador	62c	9,194$5,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,687.79	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Curaçao	34c	9,000$3,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,939.99	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Ecuador	62c	8,888$5,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,510.28	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Ecuador	65c	8,121$5,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,278.63	123	43.1%53 W · 70 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked Ecuador	38c	7,407$2,815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,814.64	79	62%49 W · 30 L	+7.7wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Ecuador	50c	7,200$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Ecuador	64c	7,117$4,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,554.77	50	80%40 W · 10 L	+5.8wins	+0.12per pick	68cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Ecuador	59c	7,000$4,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,129.71	278	45.7%127 W · 151 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1441…b235backed Ecuador	58c	6,610$3,813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,813.32	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Ecuador	65c	6,000$3,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,900	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Ecuador	68c	6,000$4,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,079.98	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Ecuador	51c	5,800$2,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,957.98	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1f…c855backed Curaçao	35c	5,500$1,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,575	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Ecuador	30c	5,216$1,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,557.95	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Curaçao	60c	5,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Ecuador	63c	5,000$3,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,150	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Curaçao	33c	5,000$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,350	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Ecuador	65c	4,926$3,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,201.9	135	50.4%68 W · 67 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Curaçao	34c	4,888$1,682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,205.45	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Ecuador	61c	4,648$2,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,835.36	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Ecuador	64c	4,500$2,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,880	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Ecuador	57c	4,486$2,556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,556.25	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Ecuador	29c	4,211$1,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,208.46	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Ecuador	67c	4,000$2,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,664.27	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Curaçao	32c	4,000$1,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,719.9	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Ecuador	62c	3,788$2,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,348.56	188	50%94 W · 94 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Ecuador	66c	3,788$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Ecuador	66c	3,500$2,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,310	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Ecuador	67c	3,500$2,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,345	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-7.0wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Ecuador	65c	3,409$2,216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,216	151	57.6%87 W · 64 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Curaçao	34c	3,277$1,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,163.01	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Ecuador	67c	3,134$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	246	20.3%50 W · 196 L	-21.8wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb75c…975cbacked Ecuador	65c	3,077$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Ecuador	49c	3,063$1,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,501	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Ecuador	67c	3,000$2,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,010	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Ecuador	63c	3,000$1,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,890	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Ecuador	63c	3,000$1,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,890	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Ecuador	63c	3,000$1,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,890	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Ecuador	63c	3,000$1,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,890	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd5…aa9ebacked Ecuador	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Curaçao	34c	3,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,979.98	144	33.3%48 W · 96 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Ecuador	56c	2,991$1,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,682.67	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Ecuador	67c	2,985$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Ecuador	62c	2,944$1,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,825.28	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Curaçao	34c	2,941$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,941.18	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb72b…989abacked Ecuador	68c	2,941$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	104	56.7%59 W · 45 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Curaçao	51c	2,827$1,442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,385.32	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Ecuador	68c	2,825$1,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,921.14	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Curaçao	34c	2,774$931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,843.12	240	28.8%69 W · 171 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Ecuador	65c	2,692$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,749.8	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b90…5fb9backed Ecuador	44c	2,687$1,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,188	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Ecuador	39c	2,642$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.55	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Curaçao	51c	2,600$1,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,274	331	49.5%164 W · 167 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Ecuador	65c	2,527$1,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,642.24	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Ecuador	62c	2,400$1,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,488	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bb…2641backed Ecuador	63c	2,395$1,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,509.15	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Ecuador	67c	2,388$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.95	166	47%78 W · 88 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Ecuador	65c	2,308$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Ecuador	62c	2,303$1,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,416.92	462	30.1%139 W · 323 L	-13.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Curaçao	32c	2,211$708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,502.95	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8250…eebcbacked Ecuador	50c	2,200$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Ecuador	45c	2,197$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.73	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Ecuador	66c	2,121$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	62cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Ecuador	55c	2,062$1,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,141.67	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Curaçao	40c	2,062$815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,246.33	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b94…b660backed Ecuador	65c	2,021$1,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,313.79	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-7.3wins	-0.18per pick	49cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4d29…0206backed Ecuador	65c	2,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+4.5wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x226a…feb1backed Curaçao	36c	2,000$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,280	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.26per pick	45cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Curaçao	34c	2,000$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,319.95	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)this page
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Curaçao won
Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Curaçao won
Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Curaçao won
Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Curaçao won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event