Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9969b848a6b5053c8c5dd8b3c93421a235a58cf09f554feb3bfefc4e86ace11b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 36c | 1,867$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.85 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…9a82backed Under | 47c | 1,250$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 58c | 1,072$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.95 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 53c | 1,016$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.38 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 61c | 765.65$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.05 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a1…b1b0backed Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 179 | 59.2%106 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 50c | 328.74$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.01 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 66c | 322.6$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 67c | 321.05$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.59 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…1765backed Over | 53c | 313.5$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.16 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 46c | 276.73$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.72 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 46c | 233.46$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over | 56c | 187.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…bd3abacked Over | 55c | 181.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…da0bbacked Under | 49c | 144.29$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…fb0cbacked Over | 10c | 125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 61c | 118.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 105$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 26c | 91.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 55c | 83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 67c | 80.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…4593backed Under | 39c | 55.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…c91fbacked Over | 62c | 46.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…d62fbacked Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 47c | 34.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…62d0backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…7409backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 61c | 30.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 58c | 30.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3924…f92bbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Curaçao won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.