TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,403

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over36c25,900$9,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,356.44,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under60c24,860$14,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,943.9553448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda1…827fbacked Over35c16,172$5,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,662.413721.6%8 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over19c10,233$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.552,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Under61c8,161$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.179645.8%44 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under62c6,972$4,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.943,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Over18c6,513$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.216134.4%21 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Under61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.9912556.8%71 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under65c4,593$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.412,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over37c4,110$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.598932.6%29 W · 60 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over37c3,366$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.272,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Under63c3,159$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.7319150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under64c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12546550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02037754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9926447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Under61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97527845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Under72c2,323$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.082763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under62c2,302$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.952,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Under62c2,220$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.612047.5%57 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under67c2,165$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.443,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under65c2,146$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.8992038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over24c2,122$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.5513454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under66c2,000$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9564443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over37c1,986$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.4958029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85ce…aed1backed Over18c1,578$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under62c1,514$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.072,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Under63c1,394$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.6514231.7%45 W · 97 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over33c1,356$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.688,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under68c1,321$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc2…10dcbacked Over39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under63c1,181$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.231,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over25c1,073$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.112,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under63c1,022$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.263,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Under64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36018248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over18c775.06$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.091,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over30c750$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22537223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over39c717$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.632,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under61c709.95$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.8819750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under65c683.9$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.91,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb93f…4160backed Over34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009662.5%60 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcd…b8d2backed Over38c581.79$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under66c581.11$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5836448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under63c572.17$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.4316633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under72c571.55$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.911,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over23c560.04$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.819237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed Under67c507.46$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4627454%148 W · 126 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Under64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18010247.1%48 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18019251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71df…9aa0backed Under64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1805850%29 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Under64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18012056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59d3…c92fbacked Under64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804736.2%17 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Under64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18018839.9%75 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…54a1backed Over35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17512738.6%49 W · 78 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Over34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010133.7%34 W · 67 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over33c499.96$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under65c494.4$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.421,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over40c487.88$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1945356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc08a…92a4backed Over39c480.95$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.579420.2%19 W · 75 L-0.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under63c476.68$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.687025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff4c…321cbacked Over39c435.9$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under67c418.5$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.293,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over39c412.18$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.291,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under67c394.99$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.792,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under65c391.61$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.851,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under67c377.97$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.782,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under60c369.43$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7728545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Under63c311.11$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1115440.3%62 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x25d7…c2bfbacked Over10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under65c300$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.611,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over40c299.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12033120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…2874backed Under67c294.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.037247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006129.5%18 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb87…3d70backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1255…fa6fbacked Over40c251.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-68.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb50f…2c5dbacked Over38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9511443%49 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020224.8%50 W · 152 L-15.8wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x924c…497ebacked Over41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over39c243.59$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under63c240.74$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.344,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2770…290bbacked Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011251.8%58 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over18c232$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.761,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under64c230.48$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.982,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over39c227$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.233443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under64c219.83$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1469744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Over38c210$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.87230.6%22 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9abc…636abacked Over39c205.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808734.5%30 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd217…b3f3backed Under67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665455.6%30 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4518…1cacbacked Under66c200$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6917757.1%101 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Under62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7617735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over18c185.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.682,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over26c180$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.246525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over24c171.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.951,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd6…c442backed Over38c165.79$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.