TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6dd6…c442

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT5945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.37
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$204.32
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$25.26
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$49.97
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$38.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.71
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.3
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$96.9
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$174.95
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$51.91
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$279
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$132
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$34.8
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$86.4
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.66
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$444.84
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$84.53
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.69
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$63.75
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+699.3%+$454.07
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.87
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$366.67
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$265.12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$224.64
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$239.35
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$672.56
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$714.75
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.16
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$188.71
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Japan (-2.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+204.8%+$405.32
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$103.43
Scotland vs. Morocco: Scotland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.3
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$119.22
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Colombia (-2.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Colombia (-3.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$156.46
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$771.43
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$684.39
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$268
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,015.15
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$457.85
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$237.22
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.63
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.84
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.66
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$57.07
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.66
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-27.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.31
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-9.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$80.6
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$536
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 20 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$66.8
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$142.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$52.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Ratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.