TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,825
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,825 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x098c…1c67backed Under37c6,609$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,179.581,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Over63c3,172$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under38c2,748$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.251,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Under37c1,648$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.4327447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over63c1,276$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80013136.6%48 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7421…ae44backed Over64c1,232$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.3716356.4%92 W · 71 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7db…ee3ebacked Under41c999.97$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.983925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdff8…3b41backed Over63c941.4$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.086446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under58c691.4$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.3850848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under38c652.61$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.5444335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Over49c600$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.91633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21e3…c9ccbacked Over62c551.31$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Over60c503.37$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016347.2%77 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008042.5%34 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bd…61e4backed Over63c475$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.254057.5%23 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed Over62c468$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.1617561.1%107 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over61c466.08$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28616357.1%93 W · 70 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Under51c450.64$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8128361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under38c433.24$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.047944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…c442backed Over62c403.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…204cbacked Over57c376.38$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.196956.5%39 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over59c355$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4512035.8%43 W · 77 L-12.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x695d…c8abbacked Over27c330.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…727fbacked Under39c327.7$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfef8…1681backed Over61c327.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-67.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5f…8a41backed Over48c321.56$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9416040%64 W · 96 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Over63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012757.5%73 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Under53c313.83$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.54252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a19…6caebacked Over61c295$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under53c287.36$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8614852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Under38c287.03$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.968835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over25c265.59$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.299748.5%47 W · 50 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Over63c255$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6539749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc9…93b4backed Over64c252.69$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.762142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under43c244.29$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4918350.8%93 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over62c241.34$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Over63c238.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010845.4%49 W · 59 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Under38c228.95$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9518742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf002…275ebacked Over49c222.65$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.15742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc1a…6049backed Under47c214.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.588240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c3b…b2a1backed Over47c214.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under40c199.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12026940.5%109 W · 160 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8748…1d5ebacked Over25c196.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Over43c195.5$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8613525.2%34 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Under50c188.4$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.416451.2%84 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009242.4%39 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over48c168.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021747%102 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over63c159.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.236752%191 W · 176 L-18.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6fd…342abacked Under73c136.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.971050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4445…09a3backed Over59c135.32$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.361145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda0b…13c2backed Over60c130$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…58b1backed Under77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.874669.6%32 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Under38c128.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9523832.4%77 W · 161 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1199…7a6abacked Over62c123.52$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.581442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Under76c116.66$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7374462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed Over60c115.87$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023752.7%125 W · 112 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Over19c115.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.693923.1%9 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Under57c107.86$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8620245%91 W · 111 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a6…159ebacked Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609632.3%31 W · 65 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504856.3%27 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c6c…806bbacked Over62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3202…6a46backed Over23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-76.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd49d…f05cbacked Under51c99.66$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.95143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74b1…9c91backed Over63c99.52$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa6…dbd6backed Over62c97.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6056060.4%338 W · 222 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8e…00abbacked Over62c96.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010342.7%44 W · 59 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64c5…d255backed Under71c95$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.551650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1134…848fbacked Over62c88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.561850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over37c85.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.272,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc31…431cbacked Over60c82.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4520171.1%143 W · 58 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4694…b6b2backed Over54c81.75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.54242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over25c80.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7286…559ebacked Over63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.223348.1%112 W · 121 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c6…90bfbacked Over63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505961%36 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d99…faa2backed Over59c78.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.07911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Under40c74.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5994134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb1…dad1backed Over63c73.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Over62c72.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.167245.8%33 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over27c71.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2721457.5%123 W · 91 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Over62c70$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.41,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbc…deedbacked Over45c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.540245.8%184 W · 218 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d18…3d29backed Under44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1824845.2%112 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under56c67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4859647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27e…44a3backed Under40c62.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.98742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf038…c40ebacked Over52c55.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb51…359dbacked Over62c55.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.383458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3323…6358backed Over59c54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8611341.6%47 W · 66 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Under46c52.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.113447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0758…48d8backed Over58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63db…eca7backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8add…fc2abacked Over59c49.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.52740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed Over51c49.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1311155.9%62 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under51c49.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.048254.9%45 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e31…a06fbacked Under77c49.04$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.281573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over30c49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.526535.4%23 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+44.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over64c46.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308522.4%19 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5781…bbfbbacked Over63c46.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.484456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.