Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85e23d940ae70538d777a27782ce35895b8d3025aa2778099ec1f330dcbe515f

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Gen.Gof Gen.G, BNK FEARX
Resolved: Mar 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $114,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $140,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,325 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xceec…4ad9backed Gen.G	72c	29,053$21,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,053.04	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked BNK FEARX	32c	14,664$4,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,623.37	225	47.6%107 W · 118 L	-11.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked BNK FEARX	27c	13,597$3,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,677.39	559	55.8%312 W · 247 L	+50.8wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX	28c	10,576$2,917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,917.29	1,827	45.6%834 W · 993 L	+26.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed Gen.G	72c	10,000$7,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,799.98	147	53.7%79 W · 68 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BNK FEARX	29c	8,055$2,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,310.17	1,224	48.3%591 W · 633 L	+26.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed BNK FEARX	30c	5,579$1,674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,673.74	95	34.7%33 W · 62 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Gen.G	71c	4,563$3,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,338.05	1,463	61.4%899 W · 564 L	-19.5wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Gen.G	70c	4,000$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	823	52.7%434 W · 389 L	+41.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed BNK FEARX	28c	3,589$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005	528	48.9%258 W · 270 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed BNK FEARX	31c	3,000$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930	769	53.4%411 W · 358 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked BNK FEARX	28c	2,500$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	445	50.1%223 W · 222 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Gen.G	71c	2,266$1,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.37	821	61%501 W · 320 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Gen.G	71c	2,104$1,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$614.34	263	60.1%158 W · 105 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Gen.G	71c	2,000$1,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580	1,435	57.4%824 W · 611 L	+36.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Gen.G	73c	2,000$1,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.2	1,029	52.3%538 W · 491 L	+27.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed BNK FEARX	29c	1,965$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.82	1,035	47.2%489 W · 546 L	+26.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked BNK FEARX	28c	1,812$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.25	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-11.1wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed BNK FEARX	29c	1,380$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.2	443	35.4%157 W · 286 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed BNK FEARX	31c	1,053$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.54	857	46.3%397 W · 460 L	+17.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed BNK FEARX	31c	1,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70c…34cabacked Gen.G	73c	792.38$577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.7	156	73.1%114 W · 42 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	69cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Gen.G	68c	742.53$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.88	1,110	49%544 W · 566 L	+42.0wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed BNK FEARX	28c	714.29$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	149	35.6%53 W · 96 L	-12.7wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-28%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4367…e904backed Gen.G	70c	714.29$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.29	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc006…3c94backed BNK FEARX	28c	703.57$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197	50	34%17 W · 33 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa097…8795backed Gen.G	73c	686.29$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.29	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-4.3wins	-0.17per pick	55cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xac9d…1687backed BNK FEARX	32c	625$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf012…1a19backed BNK FEARX	33c	613.71$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	380	34.7%132 W · 248 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Gen.G	72c	347.22$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.22	302	55.6%168 W · 134 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed BNK FEARX	28c	312.45$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.15	329	41%135 W · 194 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX	28c	304.76$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.33	2,362	32%755 W · 1,607 L	+42.0wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c0…af29backed BNK FEARX	32c	292.1$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	218	19.3%42 W · 176 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…4eb0backed BNK FEARX	28c	273.57$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked BNK FEARX	27c	200$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	123	33.3%41 W · 82 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Gen.G	34c	200$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+11.4wins	+0.25per pick	28cpaid	+89.3%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked BNK FEARX	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe2…607bbacked BNK FEARX	30c	170$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	50	58%29 W · 21 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8add…fc2abacked BNK FEARX	26c	157.24$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.88	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb396…43e8backed BNK FEARX	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked BNK FEARX	28c	147.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.44	135	25.2%34 W · 101 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb79…70f0backed Gen.G	72c	133.33$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.33	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	-6.0wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c56…3e41backed BNK FEARX	20c	130.75$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.15	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	16cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked BNK FEARX	30c	112.25$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.15	214	57.5%123 W · 91 L	+13.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked BNK FEARX	27c	111.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	362	46.4%168 W · 194 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed BNK FEARX	32c	110.63$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	50	28%14 W · 36 L	-5.9wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84c6…68dabacked BNK FEARX	28c	107.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-30%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf119…0045backed BNK FEARX	31c	102$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed BNK FEARX	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Gen.G	70c	100$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	190	55.3%105 W · 85 L	-11.6wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd12…5503backed Gen.G	34c	100$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	28cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30a5…2ee0backed BNK FEARX	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-4.7wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf25c…6025backed Gen.G	70c	87.06$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.12	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Gen.G	73c	82.2$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.2	223	50.2%112 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked BNK FEARX	33c	80$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	1,241	34.7%431 W · 810 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f05…43e7backed BNK FEARX	32c	78.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+3.7wins	+0.18per pick	37cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b42…cf90backed BNK FEARX	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+30%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf896…3cc6backed BNK FEARX	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f0…3eb3backed Gen.G	75c	69.47$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.37	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked BNK FEARX	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	95	38.9%37 W · 58 L	-6.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked BNK FEARX	29c	60.92$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	139	40.3%56 W · 83 L	-9.6wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Gen.G	72c	60$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	1,356	51.1%693 W · 663 L	-21.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed BNK FEARX	28c	53.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	225	48%108 W · 117 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ce…ea8dbacked BNK FEARX	28c	50.75$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.21	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed BNK FEARX	30c	49.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.86	232	43.5%101 W · 131 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Gen.G	72c	47.25$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.23	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…3942backed Gen.G	71c	43$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.47	87	60.9%53 W · 34 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Gen.G	71c	42.25$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed BNK FEARX	27c	37.59$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0209…c794backed Gen.G	69c	37$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.47	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+107.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9653…30afbacked BNK FEARX	31c	35.48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02f2…66e2backed Gen.G	71c	35.21$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.21	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked BNK FEARX	34c	35.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	117	42.7%50 W · 67 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e5b…4ef4backed Gen.G	71c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.7	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed Gen.G	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	58cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x932e…6f5abacked Gen.G	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20d…b58bbacked Gen.G	72c	27.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	69	66.7%46 W · 23 L	+5.4wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked Gen.G	70c	27.64$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.29	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ddc…7b24backed Gen.G	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	120	54.2%65 W · 55 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaddc…b43dbacked Gen.G	69c	27$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.37	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.59per pick	42cpaid	+329.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6937…7340backed Gen.G	72c	26.94$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.54	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3444…726ebacked Gen.G	72c	26.94$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.54	20	85%17 W · 3 L	+3.1wins	+0.15per pick	70cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d3c…a356backed Gen.G	72c	26.94$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.54	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	69cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb582…57d7backed Gen.G	69c	21$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.51	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb02…b642backed Gen.G	68c	19.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e45…4709backed Gen.G	72c	17.46$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.89	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+69.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf393…9f65backed Gen.G	69c	17$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.27	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+57.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)this page
First Blood in Game 1?Gen.G won
First Blood in Game 2?BNK FEARX won
First Blood in Game 3?Gen.G won
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)Gen.G won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsGen.G won
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerGen.G won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event