TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.Gof Gen.G, BNK FEARX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,200
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,706

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,200 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xceec…4ad9backed Gen.G42c24,718$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,217.543154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX58c12,615$7,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,289.951,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked BNK FEARX57c8,189$4,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,667.7955955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BNK FEARX61c5,522$3,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,356.121,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Gen.G40c5,130$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,083.1682452.7%434 W · 390 L+41.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed BNK FEARX62c5,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.9913344.4%59 W · 74 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a9…7076backed BNK FEARX65c4,829$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.9516844.6%75 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd3…11ecbacked Gen.G39c4,132$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Gen.G43c2,739$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.139348.4%45 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed BNK FEARX61c2,722$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.478336.1%30 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed BNK FEARX27c2,018$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.553923.1%9 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked BNK FEARX60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed BNK FEARX61c1,640$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.393644.4%16 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d2…1b03backed BNK FEARX61c1,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011945.4%54 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Gen.G36c1,540$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.2859548.2%287 W · 308 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Gen.G38c1,327$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.2144335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde19…3a14backed Gen.G41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.5113852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed BNK FEARX24c1,077$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.999748.5%47 W · 50 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked BNK FEARX63c1,016$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64028150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed BNK FEARX60c917.11$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.2726246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed BNK FEARX62c887.1$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55061150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf012…1a19backed BNK FEARX60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038534.8%134 W · 251 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Gen.G37c776.97$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.491,61148.4%780 W · 831 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa097…8795backed BNK FEARX62c758.73$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4722638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb8be…444ebacked BNK FEARX55c748.48$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.133839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Gen.G36c678.2$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.581,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked BNK FEARX59c635.91$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.195427.8%15 W · 39 L-11.1wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-41.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Gen.G47c546.87$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.0350848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Gen.G38c527.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2910240.2%41 W · 61 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Gen.G38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3239541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed BNK FEARX60c506.67$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30466445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Gen.G60c502.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.317742.9%33 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fd…db80backed BNK FEARX63c489.84$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.18757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045f…328abacked BNK FEARX60c480.55$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Gen.G38c450$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27939832.7%130 W · 268 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Gen.G39c446.25$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.6795951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dfe…d83fbacked BNK FEARX47c427$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Gen.G41c362.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.4816346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Gen.G53c357.95$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.244252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Gen.G37c343.24$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.2441060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Gen.G35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19534250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e1…8cd2backed BNK FEARX61c294.87$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX62c280$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.62,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed Gen.G40c244$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.430243%130 W · 172 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Gen.G49c238.87$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4178549.9%392 W · 393 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed BNK FEARX65c232$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.811840.7%48 W · 70 L-11.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed BNK FEARX61c224.1$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0519559.5%116 W · 79 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Gen.G41c213.32$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed BNK FEARX60c209$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.415255.3%84 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked Gen.G29c203.61$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.563237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0106…0e63backed Gen.G42c202.38$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3811954.6%65 W · 54 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed BNK FEARX61c201.01$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.414935.6%53 W · 96 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed BNK FEARX64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1284438.6%17 W · 27 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked BNK FEARX63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263339.4%13 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3207…86d9backed BNK FEARX60c192.03$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.22944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd395…3731backed BNK FEARX41c183.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed BNK FEARX60c167.7$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6215349.7%76 W · 77 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed BNK FEARX63c167$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2116251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed BNK FEARX62c145.18$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0148852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ed7…493ebacked Gen.G36c131$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Gen.G57c130.02$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.025450%27 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Gen.G35c129.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841,11748.8%545 W · 572 L+40.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18b…f404backed Gen.G37c117$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1324…376bbacked Gen.G36c114$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e86…db9dbacked BNK FEARX52c113.08$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.931233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed Gen.G40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a5…2ee0backed BNK FEARX64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644334.9%15 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e2e…c9cbbacked BNK FEARX63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6314742.2%62 W · 85 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd49d…f05cbacked Gen.G49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked BNK FEARX49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7ff…5c2abacked Gen.G53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca70…85debacked BNK FEARX62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed BNK FEARX64c95.89$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3713154.2%71 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b1…799abacked BNK FEARX64c93.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016750.3%84 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c56…3e41backed Gen.G38c92.89$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.59922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-55.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed BNK FEARX54c83.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1128361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked BNK FEARX63c79.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013940.3%56 W · 83 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa085…7fccbacked Gen.G38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9517259.9%103 W · 69 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38d0…5ea8backed Gen.G40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4516048.1%77 W · 83 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Gen.G38c74.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.021,60817.5%282 W · 1,326 L-245.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x38c6…97aebacked BNK FEARX56c71.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019740.1%79 W · 118 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked BNK FEARX59c69.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2957333%189 W · 384 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked BNK FEARX41c65.17$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7413525.2%34 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed BNK FEARX62c63.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6823243.5%101 W · 131 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b42…cf90backed BNK FEARX63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed BNK FEARX63c62.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.395950.8%30 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf72c…48b2backed BNK FEARX60c61.38$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Gen.G20c60$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481921.1%4 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick10cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Gen.G20c60$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick14cpaid+147%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Gen.G47c56.56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.951,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked BNK FEARX65c56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3221457.5%123 W · 91 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1ec…0fb3backed BNK FEARX64c55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e6…1614backed BNK FEARX64c54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Gen.G46c53.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.843447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed BNK FEARX28c53.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.011,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed BNK FEARX63c53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.397245.8%33 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked BNK FEARX63c51.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.611742.7%50 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed BNK FEARX26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.157655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7848…5f80backed BNK FEARX61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51020%2 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-72.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8add…fc2abacked BNK FEARX63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.52740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.