TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e2e…c9cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 51 out of 100; worst MLB at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT14742.2%62 W · 85 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 147 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$17.01
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.97
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.93
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.01
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$23.71
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Game Handicap: GZ (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)backed Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.89
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.96
Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Citadel Gaming (+1.5)backed Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.43
LoL: EKO Esports vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked EKO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$21.36
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.51
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$27.42
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Apex Mission Impossible · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.11
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+107.2%+$23.95
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.2
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.53
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Showing 25 of 147 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+163.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.