TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,262

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,744 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed Over61c24,159$14,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,620.71827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under50c19,638$9,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,852.381,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Under47c3,519$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.1917250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c2,875$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.121,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over37c1,323$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.762,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over50c1,118$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.3663458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Under22c770$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.910435.6%37 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Under23c705.29$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.259537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d94…593ebacked Under17c600$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4981450%7 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+155.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed Under17c600$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4981127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick13cpaid+74.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over49c518.36$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25476953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over50c511.19$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.618653.2%99 W · 87 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25029240.1%117 W · 175 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Under20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4004553.3%24 W · 21 L+11.4wins+0.25per pick28cpaid+89.3%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Over50c494.7$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.3550646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under22c481$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.2142124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Under27c470$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.914032.1%45 W · 95 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Over50c427.77$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.894763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under22c410$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31943233.8%146 W · 286 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Under52c403.72$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9524656.1%138 W · 108 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Under20c400$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick26cpaid+53.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c384.36$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.341749.2%205 W · 212 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under47c360.28$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.951,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Over50c356.98$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4939450.3%198 W · 196 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under21c325$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.59227.2%25 W · 67 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+36.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over50c316.22$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.114257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Over50c316.22$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.112955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Over50c316.22$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.117160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Over50c316.22$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.114156.1%23 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafa3…1f19backed Under20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402524%6 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94ba…001dbacked Under20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401931.6%6 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick13cpaid+113.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15021147.9%101 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over24c299.9$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.231,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Over50c298.76$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.383056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under24c292$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.3518038.9%70 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under24c289$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.0633124.2%80 W · 251 L-33.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over50c286.15$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0810165.3%66 W · 35 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Under33c280$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18825340.7%103 W · 150 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1234…c1bbbacked Under51c268.34$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.493542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over50c253.17$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.598058.8%47 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under21c250$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1984621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over50c236.68$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.345152.9%27 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Over50c218.79$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.438850.8%197 W · 191 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under29c212$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7925331.2%79 W · 174 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Over50c204.48$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.243560%21 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over49c200.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3311450%57 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under34c200$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13338743.9%170 W · 217 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Over49c197$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.528655.9%160 W · 126 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef4…763dbacked Over50c196.95$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.473946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over50c190.12$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.063956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc67b…b3d8backed Under62c173.62$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1324359.3%144 W · 99 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under33c173$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.0857222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Over49c172.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.555955.9%33 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed Over45c167.46$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.365549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over50c145.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.755265.4%34 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Over50c144.53$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.277865.4%51 W · 27 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1e4…a1adbacked Over50c128.04$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.021145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over50c128.04$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0210355.3%57 W · 46 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over50c115.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7238257.9%221 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Over50c105.73$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8714561.4%89 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Over48c97.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.772568%17 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Over53c97.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5114742.2%62 W · 85 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-75.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Under33c93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4359740.7%243 W · 354 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under33c93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4349739.4%196 W · 301 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under33c93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4372637.7%274 W · 452 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Under28c90$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.257327.4%20 W · 53 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under51c87.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.81,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over37c85.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.567247.2%34 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Over50c76.63$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.324759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ca…3b08backed Over50c73.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.862365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Over50c73.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8621140.8%86 W · 125 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed Over49c73.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.12955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81cf…9227backed Under55c73.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.937556%42 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca7…e965backed Over50c64.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.53053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe303…401abacked Under73c63.29$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.332853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over50c61.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5631650.3%159 W · 157 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Over50c59.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5918359.6%109 W · 74 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe589…5d00backed Over50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.14568.9%31 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Over50c57.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.655366%35 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cd5…bf27backed Over50c55.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.652254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Under29c53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6343040.9%176 W · 254 L-1.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb49…21b1backed Over50c51.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.561457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2215017.3%26 W · 124 L-26.8wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-61.2%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xff91…0b95backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205942.4%25 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc187…7ac1backed Over50c49.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.747252.8%38 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea75…55d5backed Under61c48.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.738159.3%48 W · 33 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe438…d8adbacked Over50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2213660.3%82 W · 54 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56e4…6ee4backed Over50c42.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.348557.6%49 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Under50c40.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3712834.4%44 W · 84 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Under34c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.635048%168 W · 182 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb4e…d00abacked Over50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c7…264fbacked Over50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.428040%112 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x197c…544bbacked Over50c33.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.985358.5%31 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e60…5848backed Over50c32.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5023…a00fbacked Over50c32.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.49757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Over50c32.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4926856.7%152 W · 116 L+1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5422backed Over50c32.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Over50c32.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.498257.3%47 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2b…e467backed Over46c31.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.