TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DN SOOPersof DN SOOPers, Kiwoom DRX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,810
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,583

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,810 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c38…1218backed DN SOOPers35c63,404$22,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,362.2821448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Kiwoom DRX65c25,003$16,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,251.861,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Kiwoom DRX65c20,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,00054353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Kiwoom DRX66c20,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,199.988444%37 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Kiwoom DRX65c18,054$11,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,685.7311645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked DN SOOPers34c15,601$5,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,312.7966437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed DN SOOPers37c10,872$4,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,849.6317949.2%88 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kiwoom DRX65c8,828$5,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,776.051,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed Kiwoom DRX67c1,463$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.28852.3%46 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Kiwoom DRX69c854.89$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.7986144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked DN SOOPers30c776.98$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.891,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked DN SOOPers64c682.99$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.163458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Kiwoom DRX37c649.81$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.627247.2%34 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked DN SOOPers63c631.6$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.6975942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Kiwoom DRX35c600.48$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1717250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked Kiwoom DRX70c566.61$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.6312454%67 W · 57 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Kiwoom DRX63c540.54$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.541,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed DN SOOPers37c520.11$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.6780832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed DN SOOPers48c501.78$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.8126453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked DN SOOPers29c335.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.8119640.3%79 W · 117 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed DN SOOPers29c325.16$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.631,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed DN SOOPers30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Kiwoom DRX65c299.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19515255.3%84 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed DN SOOPers28c231.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.312,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Kiwoom DRX71c202.4$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7134945.6%159 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Kiwoom DRX67c198.02$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.675644.6%25 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…763dbacked DN SOOPers36c196.09$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.53946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Kiwoom DRX64c193.92$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1164443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaccd…7402backed Kiwoom DRX68c143.73$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.095740.4%23 W · 34 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e28…63d6backed DN SOOPers35c136.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.97887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick55cpaid+70.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0320…3757backed Kiwoom DRX70c131.82$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5618665.6%122 W · 64 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Kiwoom DRX64c110$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.450455%277 W · 227 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked DN SOOPers32c110$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.81,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked DN SOOPers34c84.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9349346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Kiwoom DRX65c84.61$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513541.5%56 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Kiwoom DRX72c82.7$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2642124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Kiwoom DRX67c81.03$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0957222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Kiwoom DRX55c81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6533124.2%80 W · 251 L-33.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Kiwoom DRX66c74.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.984042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Kiwoom DRX68c72.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0484360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Kiwoom DRX71c66.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2823443.2%101 W · 133 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked DN SOOPers35c60.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.059538.9%37 W · 58 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed DN SOOPers32c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.874949.7%372 W · 377 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd76…3269backed Kiwoom DRX66c57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.62666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed DN SOOPers34c56.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2951247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Kiwoom DRX72c55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5543233.8%146 W · 286 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e81…8427backed Kiwoom DRX72c54.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked DN SOOPers34c50.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.561,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed DN SOOPers29c48.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.183834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Kiwoom DRX48c47.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8526154.8%143 W · 118 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed DN SOOPers43c46.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.38933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Kiwoom DRX50c43.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.451,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Kiwoom DRX70c42.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4561150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed Kiwoom DRX67c29.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe303…401abacked DN SOOPers69c28.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.972853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d5…7c98backed Kiwoom DRX76c27.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.022544%11 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Kiwoom DRX42c27.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5818555.1%102 W · 83 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa133…b3b2backed Kiwoom DRX53c21.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf39…591ebacked Kiwoom DRX70c21.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.733959%23 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Kiwoom DRX71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.272637.7%274 W · 452 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9443…7c5dbacked DN SOOPers56c19.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.421258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+71.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b38…698dbacked Kiwoom DRX71c17.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.198851.1%45 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Kiwoom DRX76c13.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.435442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.